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Should I ship a 2D Fighter Tactical RPG?
2D Fighter + Tactical RPG
Only 13 developers shipped a 2D Fighter Tactical RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Swords and Sandals 3 Redux, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $69k, ×111 the market median. Revenue is up 620% on the market; 22 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) |
| Top 5% | $70k (exactly $69,830) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 22 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 620% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 2D Fighter
- effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
- Tactical RPG
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 2D Fighter, Tactical RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Action, Adventure
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 564 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
2D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + IdlerFair
- + RhythmFair
- + SimulationFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + ManagementFair
- + SuperheroLong shot
- + Resource ManagementLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Kingdom Rush Vengeance - Tower Defense | older | $19.99 | 9,906 93% | 297k | $5.9M (exactly $5,940,628) | Ironhide Game Studio |
| | The Shadow of Yidhra | older | $10.99 | 1,355 89% | 41k | $447k (exactly $446,744) | WhitePeach |
| | Swords and Sandals Immortals | older | $11.99 | 1,056 84% | 32k | $380k (exactly $379,843) | Whiskeybarrel Studios |
| | Swords and Sandals 2 Redux | older | $9.99 | 552 78% | 17k | $165k (exactly $165,434) | Whiskeybarrel Studios |
| | Swords and Sandals 3 Redux | $9.99 | 233 87% | 7.0k | $70k (exactly $69,830) | Whiskeybarrel Studios | |
| | Shana - Priestess of Tona | $9.99 | 190 74% | 5.7k | $57k (exactly $56,943) | Lustration Team | |
| | BANCHOU TACTICS | older | $19.99 | 93 78% | 2.8k | $56k (exactly $55,772) | SECRET CHARACTER, ITSARAAMATA |
| | Hollow's Land | older | $4.99 | 195 66% | 5.9k | $29k (exactly $29,192) | Relax Minimalism |
| | Gladiators and Glory | older | $7.99 | 57 89% | 1.7k | $14k (exactly $13,663) | Oguz Kemerli |
| | Swords and Sandals Medieval | older | $6.99 | 50 76% | 1.5k | $10k (exactly $10,485) | Whiskeybarrel Studios |
| | Soulbound Roguelike | $9.99 | 34 82% | 1.0k | $10k (exactly $10,190) | DuDu Games | |
| | The Great Axe | $19.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $7.8k (exactly $7,796) | Gamesforgames | |
| | Gold Defence | $9.99 | 20 65% | 600 | $6.0k (exactly $5,994) | Gamesforgames | |
| | Survalker | $9.99 | 14 85% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) | Gamesforgames | |
| | Happy Piggy 2 | $9.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | Gamesforgames | |
| | Emoji Wars | $9.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Total | |
| | Stepfight | $9.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Gamesforgames | |
| | Rayadillo | · EA | $2.99 | 25 84% | 750 | $2.2k (exactly $2,242) | Rayadillo Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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