Do I ship it?

Games2D Fighter2D Fighter + Tactical RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Fighter Tactical RPG?

2D Fighter + Tactical RPG

Only 13 developers shipped a 2D Fighter Tactical RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Swords and Sandals 3 Redux, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $69k, ×111 the market median. Revenue is up 620% on the market; 22 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 620% on the market, 22 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Fighter + Tactical RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $14k → $57k → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Fighter + Tactical RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 5% $70k (exactly $69,830)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 42
Announced 22
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 620% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
2D Fighter, Tactical RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Action, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 564 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $900, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $69k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds8 devs · median $4.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair11 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  3. + Card BattlerFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  4. + DeckbuildingFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Auto BattlerFair16 devs · median $719 · 19 announced
  6. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $599 · 18 announced
  7. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  8. + SimulationFair51 devs · median $598 · 55 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $538 · 13 announced
  10. + ManagementFair10 devs · median $449 · 14 announced
  11. + SuperheroLong shot11 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  12. + Resource ManagementLong shot13 devs · median $390 · 14 announced

All 129 pairs on the 2D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Kingdom Rush Vengeance - Tower Defense older $19.99 9,906 93% 297k $5.9M (exactly $5,940,628) Ironhide Game Studio
The Shadow of Yidhra older $10.99 1,355 89% 41k $447k (exactly $446,744) WhitePeach
Swords and Sandals Immortals older $11.99 1,056 84% 32k $380k (exactly $379,843) Whiskeybarrel Studios
Swords and Sandals 2 Redux older $9.99 552 78% 17k $165k (exactly $165,434) Whiskeybarrel Studios
Swords and Sandals 3 Redux $9.99 233 87% 7.0k $70k (exactly $69,830) Whiskeybarrel Studios
Shana - Priestess of Tona $9.99 190 74% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,943) Lustration Team
BANCHOU TACTICS older $19.99 93 78% 2.8k $56k (exactly $55,772) SECRET CHARACTER, ITSARAAMATA
Hollow's Land older $4.99 195 66% 5.9k $29k (exactly $29,192) Relax Minimalism
Gladiators and Glory older $7.99 57 89% 1.7k $14k (exactly $13,663) Oguz Kemerli
Swords and Sandals Medieval older $6.99 50 76% 1.5k $10k (exactly $10,485) Whiskeybarrel Studios
Soulbound Roguelike $9.99 34 82% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) DuDu Games
The Great Axe $19.99 13 84% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Gamesforgames
Gold Defence $9.99 20 65% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Gamesforgames
Survalker $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames
Happy Piggy 2 $9.99 13 100% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
Emoji Wars $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Total
Stepfight $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Gamesforgames
Rayadillo · EA $2.99 25 84% 750 $2.2k (exactly $2,242) Rayadillo Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.