Do I ship it?

Games2D Fighter2D Fighter + Resource Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Resource Management 2D Fighter?

2D Fighter + Resource Management

Only 13 developers shipped a Resource Management 2D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Boxing School 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $390, ×0.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $18k, ×29 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 14 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 14 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Fighter + Resource Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 2D Fighter + Resource Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $390 (exactly $390)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,888)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $18,438)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 29
Announced 14
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 235% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
Resource Management
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
2D Fighter, Resource Management
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 66% positive over 146 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $390, 1 in 4 over $1.8k, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 14 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds8 devs · median $4.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair11 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  3. + Card BattlerFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  4. + DeckbuildingFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Auto BattlerFair16 devs · median $719 · 19 announced
  6. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $599 · 18 announced
  7. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  8. + SimulationFair51 devs · median $598 · 55 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $538 · 13 announced
  10. + ManagementFair10 devs · median $449 · 14 announced
  11. + SuperheroLong shot11 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  12. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 28 announced

All 129 pairs on the 2D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dojo Masters older $14.99 137 92% 4.1k $62k (exactly $61,609) Pixeled Vision
World Championship Boxing Manager™ 2 older $12.99 90 67% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,073) Mega Cat Studios
Boxing School 2 $14.99 41 80% 1.2k $18k (exactly $18,438) Raptor Claw Games
Heritage $9.99 44 72% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Big Three Games
Type or Die $13.99 29 31% 870 $12k (exactly $12,171) Type or Die
Street karate 3 older $4.99 55 80% 1.7k $8.2k (exactly $8,234) Essential Tactics Games
Middle Age Conquest older $6.99 38 76% 1.1k $8.0k (exactly $7,969) Musa GUNGOR
Chemical Combat $8.99 7 100% 210 $1.9k (exactly $1,888) SigmoidDev
Punch, Rest, Repeat $3.99 12 100% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) Gallop Forever Games
Goblin Assault: Tower Defense · EA $4.99 6 16% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Hard Shark Games
Smash Crates older $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Fat Alien Cat
Mad Bang Bang $12.99 1 0% 30 $390 (exactly $390) Tomorrow Baby
在线地球:Earth Online $0.99 3 0% 90 $89 (exactly $89) Song-Ya Network Systems (Guangzhou) Co… (Song-Ya Network Systems (Guangzhou) Co Ltd)
Medieval Fantasy Blacksmith Shop $0.99 3 100% 90 $89 (exactly $89) Uraz Interactive
Ave Trail $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Mael Valin

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.