Do I ship it?

Games2D Fighter2D Fighter + Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Fighter Management game?

2D Fighter + Management

Only 10 developers shipped a 2D Fighter Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Boxing School 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 14 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 14 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Fighter + Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $35k → $449 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Fighter + Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $898 (exactly $898)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $18,438)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 34
Announced 14
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
2D Fighter, Management
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 70% positive over 70 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $450, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 14 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds8 devs · median $4.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair11 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  3. + Card BattlerFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  4. + DeckbuildingFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Auto BattlerFair16 devs · median $719 · 19 announced
  6. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $599 · 18 announced
  7. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  8. + SimulationFair51 devs · median $598 · 55 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $538 · 13 announced
  10. + SuperheroLong shot11 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  11. + Resource ManagementLong shot13 devs · median $390 · 14 announced
  12. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 28 announced

All 129 pairs on the 2D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Punch Club older $9.99 12,098 81% 363k $3.6M (exactly $3,625,771) Lazy Bear Games
Cobra Kai: The Karate Kid Saga Continues older $19.99 417 84% 13k $250k (exactly $250,075) Flux Games
Boxing School older $9.99 516 89% 15k $155k (exactly $154,645) Raptor Claw Games
Tower Walker: MMO Grind Simulator older $9.99 270 77% 8.1k $81k (exactly $80,919) Raptor Claw Games, Millendream
Story of a Gladiator older $10.99 177 75% 5.3k $58k (exactly $58,357) Brain Seal Ltd
Gladiator School older $4.99 297 69% 8.9k $44k (exactly $44,461) Raptor Claw Games
World Championship Boxing Manager™ 2 older $12.99 90 67% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,073) Mega Cat Studios
Boxing School 2 $14.99 41 80% 1.2k $18k (exactly $18,438) Raptor Claw Games
Wrestling Revolution 2D older $4.99 96 94% 2.9k $14k (exactly $14,371) MDickie
Pocket Arcade Story older $8.99 44 61% 1.3k $12k (exactly $11,867) Kairosoft Co.,Ltd
Company Rising $8.99 11 18% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) Director Liu
Idle Squire $4.99 6 50% 180 $898 (exactly $898) White Cape Games
水浒群侠传 $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) 曾经惨遭锁区
Vector Storm $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) WHODATYAT
Stock Fighter $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) McTeddy Games
Pellets $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) CBMGames
The 3310 Paradox $1.75 2 100% 60 $105 (exactly $105) Gun&Don
Geo Defense $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) NIKEBA
Frontier Protocol $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) William Radcliffe

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.