Do I ship it?

Games › 2D Fighter › 2D Fighter + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural 2D Fighter?

2D Fighter + Supernatural

Only 11 developers shipped a Supernatural 2D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Skeletons Are Fighting, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $0 in the last 2 years and $150 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 18 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 18 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Fighter + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $0 → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Fighter + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $359 (exactly $359)
Top 5% $4.8k (exactly $4,795)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 27
Announced 18
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
2D Fighter
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 5 games average 97% positive over 37 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $350, 1 in 20 over $4.7k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 18 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds8 devs · median $4.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair11 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  3. + Card BattlerFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  4. + DeckbuildingFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Auto BattlerFair16 devs · median $719 · 19 announced
  6. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $599 · 18 announced
  7. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  8. + SimulationFair51 devs · median $598 · 55 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $538 · 13 announced
  10. + ManagementFair10 devs · median $449 · 14 announced
  11. + SuperheroLong shot11 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  12. + Resource ManagementLong shot13 devs · median $390 · 14 announced

All 129 pairs on the 2D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Brave Little Cloud 2023 · $8.1k The Skeletons Are Fighting 2025 · $4.8k Taram Baba 2025 · $1.8k Equinox 2022 · $648 ARATAMAKAMI 2024 · $629
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Brave Little Cloud older $9.99 27 100% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) VICTORIA Games
The Skeletons Are Fighting $9.99 16 100% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) SteamyDev
Taram Baba $4.00 15 93% 450 $1.8k (exactly $1,800) Sofa Interactive
Equinox older $0.90 24 70% 720 $648 (exactly $648) Steven Silverstein
ARATAMAKAMI older $6.99 3 0% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Recent Past
人偶工坊 older $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) 橙光游戏
Cozy Fast Hanoï $2.99 4 100% 120 $359 (exactly $359) Wi Lee Studio
Ghost Guy older $2.99 4 100% 120 $359 (exactly $359) Firebunny Games
Bad-Draw older $1.99 4 75% 120 $239 (exactly $239) 2E
Der Blaue Diamant older $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Marco Games
Rome: Nightmares of Empire $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Hubert G
Power and Glory $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Jan Brychta
Battlement $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Henkdg
Cursed Frontier $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Yanfer
Ecclesiastes Mistress Of Souls $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Leon C.L.Dawes
Cryptoria $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) XnaxlZzz_Studios
Ethereal Storm · EA $8.40 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) App.nz

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.