Do I ship it?

Games2D Fighter2D Fighter + Strategy RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Fighter Strategy RPG?

2D Fighter + Strategy RPG

Only 9 developers shipped a 2D Fighter Strategy RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rune Coliseum, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×7.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.9k against a market of $630. 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 6.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 23 announced, ×7.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Fighter + Strategy RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 2D Fighter + Strategy RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $3.9k (exactly $3,896)
Top 25% $29k (exactly $29,471)
Top 5% $505k (exactly $504,754)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 30
Announced 23
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
2D Fighter, Strategy RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 3,117 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $3.9k, 1 in 4 over $29k, 1 in 20 over $500k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds8 devs · median $4.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair11 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  3. + Card BattlerFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  4. + DeckbuildingFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Auto BattlerFair16 devs · median $719 · 19 announced
  6. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $599 · 18 announced
  7. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  8. + SimulationFair51 devs · median $598 · 55 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $538 · 13 announced
  10. + ManagementFair10 devs · median $449 · 14 announced
  11. + SuperheroLong shot11 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  12. + Resource ManagementLong shot13 devs · median $390 · 14 announced

All 129 pairs on the 2D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rune Coliseum · EA $18.99 886 79% 27k $505k (exactly $504,754) Rafale Software
Swords and Sandals Immortals older $11.99 1,056 84% 32k $380k (exactly $379,843) Whiskeybarrel Studios
Swords and Sandals 2 Redux older $9.99 552 78% 17k $165k (exactly $165,434) Whiskeybarrel Studios
Swords and Sandals 3 Redux $9.99 233 87% 7.0k $70k (exactly $69,830) Whiskeybarrel Studios
BANCHOU TACTICS older $19.99 93 78% 2.8k $56k (exactly $55,772) SECRET CHARACTER, ITSARAAMATA
极乐不羡仙 $5.99 164 65% 4.9k $29k (exactly $29,471) 仙常居ソフト
烈山海贰 older $19.99 48 81% 1.4k $29k (exactly $28,786) 图纳密游戏
New ZhaoYun older $29.99 25 44% 750 $22k (exactly $22,492) XBZYZ Game
The Mythical City 4 older $49.99 10 100% 300 $15k (exactly $14,997) Gamesforgames
Swords and Sandals Medieval older $6.99 50 76% 1.5k $10k (exactly $10,485) Whiskeybarrel Studios
The Orc Invasion $10.99 13 92% 390 $4.3k (exactly $4,286) ATK Games
Happy Piggy 2 $9.99 13 100% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
Shell of the coward $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Jacquey Arthur
古道卿卿 $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) S Game
The Light and the Shadow $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) EnrolaDev
幻想序章: Genesis $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) LIU CHENLONG

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.