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Should I ship a 2D Fighter Strategy RPG?
2D Fighter + Strategy RPG
Only 9 developers shipped a 2D Fighter Strategy RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rune Coliseum, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×7.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.9k against a market of $630. 23 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) |
| Top 25% | $29k (exactly $29,471) |
| Top 5% | $505k (exactly $504,754) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 2D Fighter
- effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
- Strategy RPG
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 2D Fighter, Strategy RPG
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 80% positive over 3,117 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
2D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + IdlerFair
- + RhythmFair
- + SimulationFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + ManagementFair
- + SuperheroLong shot
- + Resource ManagementLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Rune Coliseum | · EA | $18.99 | 886 79% | 27k | $505k (exactly $504,754) | Rafale Software |
| | Swords and Sandals Immortals | older | $11.99 | 1,056 84% | 32k | $380k (exactly $379,843) | Whiskeybarrel Studios |
| | Swords and Sandals 2 Redux | older | $9.99 | 552 78% | 17k | $165k (exactly $165,434) | Whiskeybarrel Studios |
| | Swords and Sandals 3 Redux | $9.99 | 233 87% | 7.0k | $70k (exactly $69,830) | Whiskeybarrel Studios | |
| | BANCHOU TACTICS | older | $19.99 | 93 78% | 2.8k | $56k (exactly $55,772) | SECRET CHARACTER, ITSARAAMATA |
| | 极乐不羡仙 | $5.99 | 164 65% | 4.9k | $29k (exactly $29,471) | 仙常居ソフト | |
| | 烈山海贰 | older | $19.99 | 48 81% | 1.4k | $29k (exactly $28,786) | 图纳密游戏 |
| | New ZhaoYun | older | $29.99 | 25 44% | 750 | $22k (exactly $22,492) | XBZYZ Game |
| | The Mythical City 4 | older | $49.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $15k (exactly $14,997) | Gamesforgames |
| | Swords and Sandals Medieval | older | $6.99 | 50 76% | 1.5k | $10k (exactly $10,485) | Whiskeybarrel Studios |
| | The Orc Invasion | $10.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $4.3k (exactly $4,286) | ATK Games | |
| | Happy Piggy 2 | $9.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | Gamesforgames | |
| | Shell of the coward | $9.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Jacquey Arthur | |
| | 古道卿卿 | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | S Game | |
| | The Light and the Shadow | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | EnrolaDev | |
| | 幻想序章: Genesis | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | LIU CHENLONG |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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