Do I ship it?

Games2D Fighter2D Fighter + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot 2D Fighter?

2D Fighter + Robots

Only 14 developers shipped a Robot 2D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Iron Saga VS, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $59 in the last 2 years and $330 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 19 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Fighter + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $449 → $35k → $0 → $59 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Fighter + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $59 (exactly $59)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,158)
Top 5% $338k (exactly $338,287)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 49
Announced 19
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
2D Fighter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Fighting
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cartoon, Cartoony
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 7 games average 84% positive over 688 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $59, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $330k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds8 devs · median $4.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair11 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  3. + Card BattlerFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  4. + DeckbuildingFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Auto BattlerFair16 devs · median $719 · 19 announced
  6. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $599 · 18 announced
  7. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  8. + SimulationFair51 devs · median $598 · 55 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $538 · 13 announced
  10. + ManagementFair10 devs · median $449 · 14 announced
  11. + SuperheroLong shot11 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  12. + Resource ManagementLong shot13 devs · median $390 · 14 announced

All 129 pairs on the 2D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Iron Saga VS $29.99 376 79% 11k $338k (exactly $338,287) Gameduchy
Megabyte Punch older $14.99 409 94% 12k $184k (exactly $183,927) Team Reptile
Vengeance Hunters $19.99 63 84% 1.9k $38k (exactly $37,781) Nalua Studio SLU
Chaos Faction Legacy Collection $4.99 234 93% 7.0k $35k (exactly $35,030) George "EON" Eade
Stardust Vanguards older $3.99 58 82% 1.7k $6.9k (exactly $6,943) Zanrai Interactive
ROBO OH older $2.99 67 100% 2.0k $6.0k (exactly $6,010) Foxy Boxy Games
PixelJunk™ Scrappers Deluxe older $14.99 11 36% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Q-Games Ltd.
Build 'n Bump older $4.99 30 76% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) Roppy Chop Studios
Awaken older $9.99 14 42% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Beijing Xianfan Culture Co., Ltd.
GasZilla older $4.99 23 91% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) SUJIKO Media Group
Fighties 2 $11.99 6 66% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Pillow Pig Games
Robots with Guns $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Flash of Stars
Homelessvania $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Roman
Rembrunir 2 $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) LAGA
PunchBots $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ghost Creative Studio
Proxy Adventure: Simulation Room $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) VinaGolem
Tretrais · EA $3.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) DJAS Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.