Do I ship it?

Games2D Fighter2D Fighter + Quick-Time Events

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Quick-Time Events 2D Fighter?

2D Fighter + Quick-Time Events

Only 6 developers shipped a Quick-Time Events 2D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Type or Die, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $480 against a market of $630. 8 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 8 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Fighter + Quick-Time Events
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 2D Fighter + Quick-Time Events: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,197)
Top 5% $12k (exactly $12,171)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 28
Announced 8
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
Quick-Time Events
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
2D Fighter, Quick-Time Events
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 16,756 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $480, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $12k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 8 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds8 devs · median $4.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair11 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  3. + Card BattlerFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  4. + DeckbuildingFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Auto BattlerFair16 devs · median $719 · 19 announced
  6. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $599 · 18 announced
  7. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  8. + SimulationFair51 devs · median $598 · 55 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $538 · 13 announced
  10. + ManagementFair10 devs · median $449 · 14 announced
  11. + SuperheroLong shot11 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  12. + Resource ManagementLong shot13 devs · median $390 · 14 announced

All 129 pairs on the 2D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles older $59.99 16,545 87% 496k $30M (exactly $29,776,036) CyberConnect2
Monster Girl Conquest Records Battle Orc older $10.99 94 93% 2.8k $31k (exactly $30,992) mozu field
Type or Die $13.99 29 31% 870 $12k (exactly $12,171) Type or Die
Toubatsu older $6.99 18 77% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) ぽんこん堂
Boulette Hell older $6.99 16 100% 480 $3.4k (exactly $3,355) Lucas Delvallet, Quentin Delvallet
UNPLUGGED older $4.99 12 100% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) omidjm
Stick Slasher older $1.99 22 95% 660 $1.3k (exactly $1,313) Beruke Games
Swing Hero $3.99 10 70% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) 八口工作室
S.S.C. Rusted $3.99 4 100% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Series Sun
Fighter X Fighter older $1.99 6 83% 180 $358 (exactly $358) WANG TAO
Crushiator $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Carus
Sword Snap $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) CelestialCore Games
Samurai Standoff · EA $8.31 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Bearstick

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.