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Should I ship a Precision Platformer 2D Fighter?
2D Fighter + Precision Platformer
Of 29 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer 2D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $32k, ×51 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 22 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $539 (exactly $539) |
| Top 25% | $1.6k (exactly $1,556) |
| Top 5% | $32k (exactly $32,224) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 29 |
| Released games | 85 |
| Announced | 22 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 2D Fighter
- effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
- Precision Platformer
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 2D Fighter, Precision Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, 2D Platformer, Platformer
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cartoony, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 360 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
2D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + IdlerFair
- + RhythmFair
- + SimulationFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + ManagementFair
- + SuperheroLong shot
- + Resource ManagementLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | BlazBlue Entropy Effect | older | $19.99 | 30,410 94% | 912k | $18M (exactly $18,236,877) | 91Act |
| | You are Peter Shorts | older | $14.99 | 194 90% | 5.8k | $87k (exactly $87,242) | ondydev |
| | Decline's Drops | $14.99 | 170 96% | 5.1k | $76k (exactly $76,449) | Le Moulin aux Bulles | |
| | Ritter & Rotwein | $12.49 | 86 68% | 2.6k | $32k (exactly $32,224) | Hurdy-Gurdy Games | |
| | Happenlance | older | $19.99 | 39 92% | 1.2k | $23k (exactly $23,388) | Miles Fogle, Phillip Trudeau-Tavara, Cy… (Miles Fogle, Phillip Trudeau-Tavara, Cyborg Primate) |
| | Skullbreaker | $29.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $12k (exactly $11,696) | Sharkgame | |
| | Dragon Climax | older | $3.99 | 89 80% | 2.7k | $11k (exactly $10,653) | SEEP |
| | Pixel Pirate | older | $24.99 | 14 78% | 420 | $10k (exactly $10,496) | Stas Paty9mkin |
| | Galactic Thunderdome | $9.99 | 35 100% | 1.1k | $10k (exactly $10,490) | Pansimula | |
| | Blade Jumper | older | $6.99 | 27 81% | 810 | $5.7k (exactly $5,662) | bit paradigm |
| | Hammer of Pain | $10.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | SleepingFrog | |
| | Dream Adventurer | $19.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) | Spring Tree Work | |
| | Nice To Yeet You | · EA | $5.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $2.3k (exactly $2,336) | Empty Bottle |
| | KBF: Knight Bar Fight | $3.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $1.6k (exactly $1,556) | KBF Team | |
| | Boiiing Boiiing | $6.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | SLMB's Games | |
| | Pirate Guy | $2.99 | 11 81% | 330 | $987 (exactly $987) | Cow Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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