Do I ship it?

Games2D Fighter2D Fighter + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Point & Click 2D Fighter?

2D Fighter + Point & Click

Only 15 developers shipped a Point & Click 2D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Valkeala Birds, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 10 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Fighter + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.6k → $9.7k → $298 → $179 → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Fighter + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $599 (exactly $599)
Top 5% $1.6k (exactly $1,615)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 48
Announced 10
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
2D Fighter, Point & Click
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 93 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $240, 1 in 4 over $590, 1 in 20 over $1.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds8 devs · median $4.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair11 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  3. + Card BattlerFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  4. + DeckbuildingFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Auto BattlerFair16 devs · median $719 · 19 announced
  6. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $599 · 18 announced
  7. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  8. + SimulationFair51 devs · median $598 · 55 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $538 · 13 announced
  10. + ManagementFair10 devs · median $449 · 14 announced
  11. + SuperheroLong shot11 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  12. + Resource ManagementLong shot13 devs · median $390 · 14 announced

All 129 pairs on the 2D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tower Walker: MMO Grind Simulator older $9.99 270 77% 8.1k $81k (exactly $80,919) Raptor Claw Games, Millendream
Slime Dungeon · EA older $29.99 36 77% 1.1k $32k (exactly $32,389) Irinkutor
Bad Cat older $9.99 68 83% 2.0k $20k (exactly $20,380) FastGame, VICTORIA Games
Sift Heads Cartels older $5.99 79 87% 2.4k $14k (exactly $14,196) Pyrozen
Sift Heads Legendary Pack older $5.99 70 65% 2.1k $13k (exactly $12,579) Pyrozen
Loi The Lover older $11.99 27 74% 810 $9.7k (exactly $9,712) Insatiable Game Studio
Scrap Riders older $19.99 16 81% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Games For Tutti
Toubatsu older $6.99 18 77% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) ぽんこん堂
GasZilla older $4.99 23 91% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) SUJIKO Media Group
Valkeala Birds $2.99 18 77% 540 $1.6k (exactly $1,615) Valkeala Software, Tero Lunkka
CPU Invaders - Aim Hero $0.99 53 100% 1.6k $1.6k (exactly $1,574) Microblast Games
Chess Knightmare $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) RanDev Software
Pixel Chess Idle RPG $4.99 4 50% 120 $599 (exactly $599) SHIFT.
DodgeKill · EA $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Kiro & Co, A2onCraft
Humans Vs Orcs $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) ShakyHand
The Fallen Kingdom $1.99 5 100% 150 $298 (exactly $298) Lucas Baldi Aragão
Castle Ruglia $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) ShareDev Technologies
Battle Mayhem $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Sam Farnsley
Galactic Prospectors · EA $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Vyrex Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.