Do I ship it?

Games2D Fighter2D Fighter + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological 2D Fighter?

2D Fighter + Mythology

Only 9 developers shipped a Mythological 2D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, AQUAPAZZA: Aquaplus Dream Match, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $62k, ×99 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 22 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 22 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Fighter + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $898 → $480 → $56k
Outcomes for 2D Fighter + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $716 (exactly $716)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,397)
Top 5% $62k (exactly $62,369)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 33
Announced 22
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
2D Fighter
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,144 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $62k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds8 devs · median $4.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair11 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  3. + Card BattlerFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  4. + DeckbuildingFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Auto BattlerFair16 devs · median $719 · 19 announced
  6. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $599 · 18 announced
  7. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  8. + SimulationFair51 devs · median $598 · 55 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $538 · 13 announced
  10. + ManagementFair10 devs · median $449 · 14 announced
  11. + SuperheroLong shot11 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  12. + Resource ManagementLong shot13 devs · median $390 · 14 announced

All 129 pairs on the 2D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fight of Gods older $14.99 762 83% 23k $343k (exactly $342,671) Digital Crafter
AQUAPAZZA: Aquaplus Dream Match $19.99 104 33% 3.1k $62k (exactly $62,369) AQUAPLUS
DaemonBride:ADDITIONAL GAIN $19.99 94 82% 2.8k $56k (exactly $56,372) Team Arcana, Kizawaya
Boss Rush: Mythology older $4.99 123 78% 3.7k $18k (exactly $18,413) Alexey Suslin
Grapplers: Relic Rivals older $13.99 12 100% 360 $5.0k (exactly $5,036) Ally Productions LLC
Skullhunter A Worm's Tale $7.99 10 100% 300 $2.4k (exactly $2,397) Oliver Arett
Grendel's Cave $6.99 11 100% 330 $2.3k (exactly $2,307) Grendel Enterprises, L.L.C.
罪印 Seal of sins older $2.99 14 64% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) 玄机子
Parable Academy $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Snuffysam Media
Monkey King vs Transformers older $3.99 10 90% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) pengjianNiu
Youra The Game $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Julio Carmona, Jose Mendoza, Derek Krull
Stopping Santa $1.99 12 100% 360 $716 (exactly $716) Hephaestus Games
Maev $6.49 2 100% 60 $389 (exactly $389) Keepsake
LUXY MONSTERS $10.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) wolfcito

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.