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Should I ship a Mythological 2D Fighter?
2D Fighter + Mythology
Only 9 developers shipped a Mythological 2D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, AQUAPAZZA: Aquaplus Dream Match, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $62k, ×99 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 22 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $716 (exactly $716) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 25% | $2.4k (exactly $2,397) |
| Top 5% | $62k (exactly $62,369) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 33 |
| Announced | 22 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 2D Fighter
- effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
- Mythology
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 2D Fighter
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,144 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $720. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
2D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + IdlerFair
- + RhythmFair
- + SimulationFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + ManagementFair
- + SuperheroLong shot
- + Resource ManagementLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Fight of Gods | older | $14.99 | 762 83% | 23k | $343k (exactly $342,671) | Digital Crafter |
| | AQUAPAZZA: Aquaplus Dream Match | $19.99 | 104 33% | 3.1k | $62k (exactly $62,369) | AQUAPLUS | |
| | DaemonBride:ADDITIONAL GAIN | $19.99 | 94 82% | 2.8k | $56k (exactly $56,372) | Team Arcana, Kizawaya | |
| | Boss Rush: Mythology | older | $4.99 | 123 78% | 3.7k | $18k (exactly $18,413) | Alexey Suslin |
| | Grapplers: Relic Rivals | older | $13.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $5.0k (exactly $5,036) | Ally Productions LLC |
| | Skullhunter A Worm's Tale | $7.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $2.4k (exactly $2,397) | Oliver Arett | |
| | Grendel's Cave | $6.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $2.3k (exactly $2,307) | Grendel Enterprises, L.L.C. | |
| | 罪印 Seal of sins | older | $2.99 | 14 64% | 420 | $1.3k (exactly $1,256) | 玄机子 |
| | Parable Academy | $9.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) | Snuffysam Media | |
| | Monkey King vs Transformers | older | $3.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) | pengjianNiu |
| | Youra The Game | $9.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | Julio Carmona, Jose Mendoza, Derek Krull | |
| | Stopping Santa | $1.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $716 (exactly $716) | Hephaestus Games | |
| | Maev | $6.49 | 2 100% | 60 | $389 (exactly $389) | Keepsake | |
| | LUXY MONSTERS | $10.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | wolfcito |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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