Games › 2D Fighter › 2D Fighter + Mystery
Should I ship a Mystery 2D Fighter?
2D Fighter + Mystery
Only 12 developers shipped a Mystery 2D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Royal Goldenbeak and the Curse of Snowy Island, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $30 in the last 2 years and $89 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 25 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $30 (exactly $30) |
| Top 25% | $179 (exactly $179) |
| Top 5% | $959 (exactly $959) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 41 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $2.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 2D Fighter
- effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
- Mystery
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 2D Fighter
- Price point
- $2.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 6 games average 85% positive over 14 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
2D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + IdlerFair
- + RhythmFair
- + SimulationFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + ManagementFair
- + SuperheroLong shot
- + Resource ManagementLong shot
Comparable games
Nocturnal 2023 · $260k 
Cobra Kai: The Karate Kid Saga Continues 2021 · $250k 
Song of Iron 2021 · $215k 
Omen of Sorrow 2023 · $23k 
天天地下城 2022 · $16k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Nocturnal | older | $16.99 | 511 90% | 15k | $260k (exactly $260,457) | Sunnyside Games |
| | Cobra Kai: The Karate Kid Saga Continues | older | $19.99 | 417 84% | 13k | $250k (exactly $250,075) | Flux Games |
| | Song of Iron | older | $19.99 | 358 72% | 11k | $215k (exactly $214,693) | Resting Relic |
| | Omen of Sorrow | older | $19.99 | 39 74% | 1.2k | $23k (exactly $23,388) | AOne Games |
| | 天天地下城 | older | $4.99 | 107 97% | 3.2k | $16k (exactly $16,018) | BIFROST CLOUD PTE. LTD. |
 | A Tale of Synapse : The Chaos Theories | older | $17.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $7.0k (exactly $7,016) | Souris Lab |
 | DarkMatter: The Strange Messenger | · EA older | $13.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $2.1k (exactly $2,098) | Studio215 |
 | Miwa: The Sacred Fox | older | $11.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.4k (exactly $1,439) | Baki Studio |
 | KONSUI FIGHTER | · EA older | $7.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | Circean Studios |
 | Royal Goldenbeak and the Curse of Snowy Island | $7.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $959 (exactly $959) | Outside the Zoo | |
 | Maev | $6.49 | 2 100% | 60 | $389 (exactly $389) | Keepsake | |
 | That's My Monster: Neighbor Among Us | $1.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $179 (exactly $179) | Treasure Hunters | |
 | PLATE | $0.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $89 (exactly $89) | Tosakia | |
 | Power and Glory | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Jan Brychta | |
 | Zack in Fight | · EA | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | Without the H |
 | Dummy | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | SJR Team | |
 | Return of the soul | $10.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Mateus Henrique de Jesus | |
 | Cursed Frontier | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Yanfer | |
 | Cryptoria | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | XnaxlZzz_Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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