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Should I ship a Multiple Endings 2D Fighter?
2D Fighter + Multiple Endings
Of 22 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings 2D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $160k, ×268 the market median. Revenue is up 545% on the market; 45 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $6.0k (exactly $5,988) |
| Top 5% | $168k (exactly $168,030) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 22 |
| Released games | 82 |
| Announced | 45 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 545% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 2D Fighter
- effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 2D Fighter, Multiple Endings; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Beat 'em up
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Hand-drawn
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,346 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
2D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + IdlerFair
- + RhythmFair
- + SimulationFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + ManagementFair
- + SuperheroLong shot
- + Resource ManagementLong shot
Comparable games
BlazBlue Entropy Effect 2024 · $18M 
Anomaly Agent 2024 · $3.4M 
Pocket Bravery 2023 · $302k 
Cobra Kai: The Karate Kid Saga Continues 2021 · $250k 
Poetry of Blood: Eclipse 2024 · EA · $183k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | BlazBlue Entropy Effect | older | $19.99 | 30,410 94% | 912k | $18M (exactly $18,236,877) | 91Act |
| | Anomaly Agent | older | $11.99 | 9,463 94% | 284k | $3.4M (exactly $3,403,841) | Phew Phew Games |
| | Pocket Bravery | older | $19.99 | 503 90% | 15k | $302k (exactly $301,649) | Statera Studio |
| | Cobra Kai: The Karate Kid Saga Continues | older | $19.99 | 417 84% | 13k | $250k (exactly $250,075) | Flux Games |
| | Poetry of Blood: Eclipse | · EA | $14.99 | 406 91% | 12k | $183k (exactly $182,578) | ZeroGameStudio |
 | Halluci-Sabbat of Koishi | $7.99 | 701 91% | 21k | $168k (exactly $168,030) | ZRIGN 地霊研究院 | |
 | Listen to the Wind | older | $11.99 | 421 73% | 13k | $151k (exactly $151,434) | Papertiger Studio |
 | Duelists of Eden | older | $4.99 | 856 95% | 26k | $128k (exactly $128,143) | Thomas Moon Kang |
 | You are Peter Shorts | older | $14.99 | 194 90% | 5.8k | $87k (exactly $87,242) | ondydev |
 | Acceleration of SUGURI 2 | older | $8.99 | 283 92% | 8.5k | $76k (exactly $76,325) | Orange_Juice |
 | Lady Death Demonicron | $39.99 | 36 47% | 1.1k | $43k (exactly $43,189) | Art Of Play Interactive | |
 | face the immortal | · EA | $17.99 | 41 92% | 1.2k | $22k (exactly $22,128) | DY |
 | The Phantom | $19.99 | 31 61% | 930 | $19k (exactly $18,591) | Art Of Play Interactive | |
 | Creepy Creepy Love | $4.99 | 62 93% | 1.9k | $9.3k (exactly $9,281) | BYYONI Entertainment | |
 | SPY - Adult Only | $4.99 | 40 37% | 1.2k | $6.0k (exactly $5,988) | Libero | |
 | Barbarian Saga: The Beastmaster | $14.99 | 9 55% | 270 | $4.0k (exactly $4,047) | Dormidin Studio | |
 | Dragon Battle Princess | $8.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) | Creator Game | |
 | Skullhunter A Worm's Tale | $7.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $2.4k (exactly $2,397) | Oliver Arett |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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