Do I ship it?

Games2D Fighter2D Fighter + Modern

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Modern-Day 2D Fighter?

2D Fighter + Modern

Only 8 developers shipped a Modern-Day 2D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Terrordrome - Reign of the Legends, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $9.3k against a market of $630. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 14.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 165% on the market, 17 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Fighter + Modern
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 2D Fighter + Modern: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $9.3k (exactly $9,281)
Top 25% $78k (exactly $78,248)
Top 5% $101k (exactly $100,750)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 26
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 165% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
Modern
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
2D Fighter
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 9,612 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $9.3k, 1 in 4 over $78k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds8 devs · median $4.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair11 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  3. + Card BattlerFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  4. + DeckbuildingFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Auto BattlerFair16 devs · median $719 · 19 announced
  6. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $599 · 18 announced
  7. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  8. + SimulationFair51 devs · median $598 · 55 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $538 · 13 announced
  10. + ManagementFair10 devs · median $449 · 14 announced
  11. + SuperheroLong shot11 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  12. + Resource ManagementLong shot13 devs · median $390 · 14 announced

All 129 pairs on the 2D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
MELTY BLOOD: TYPE LUMINA older $49.99 9,130 88% 274k $14M (exactly $13,692,261) FRENCH-BREAD, TYPE-MOON, Lasengle Inc.,… (FRENCH-BREAD, TYPE-MOON, Lasengle Inc., TAMSOFT CORPORATION, GameLoop Inc.)
Terrordrome - Reign of the Legends $19.99 168 72% 5.0k $101k (exactly $100,750) Huracan Studio
Femboy Futa Mania 🌶️ $14.99 174 71% 5.2k $78k (exactly $78,248) Lewd Star
Tough Love Arena $11.99 38 97% 1.1k $14k (exactly $13,669) M. Paul Weeks, Amy Xu
Creepy Creepy Love $4.99 62 93% 1.9k $9.3k (exactly $9,281) BYYONI Entertainment
Company Rising $8.99 11 18% 330 $3.0k (exactly $2,967) Director Liu
Sodom-R older $11.99 8 50% 240 $2.9k (exactly $2,878) PastureSoft, pastgame
Marsh older $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) TeeGK
Nyanroo The Supercat · EA older $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Golden Shelves Software
ARATAMAKAMI older $6.99 3 0% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Recent Past
Boomer Brawler $0.99 5 100% 150 $148 (exactly $148) FzzyBzzy
赤马 $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) 玄逍工作室
Double D. F. $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) RielFactor

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.