Do I ship it?

Games2D Fighter2D Fighter + Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Horror 2D Fighter?

2D Fighter + Horror

Only 13 developers shipped a Horror 2D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Terrordrome - Reign of the Legends, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×160 the market median. Revenue is up 425% on the market; 29 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 425% on the market, 29 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Fighter + Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $750 → $49k → $299 → $7.0k
Outcomes for 2D Fighter + Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,397)
Top 25% $34k (exactly $33,583)
Top 5% $101k (exactly $100,750)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 68
Announced 29
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 425% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
Horror
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
2D Fighter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Beat 'em up
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Side Scroller, Comic Book
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 67% positive over 477 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds8 devs · median $4.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair11 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  3. + Card BattlerFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  4. + DeckbuildingFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Auto BattlerFair16 devs · median $719 · 19 announced
  6. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $599 · 18 announced
  7. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  8. + SimulationFair51 devs · median $598 · 55 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $538 · 13 announced
  10. + ManagementFair10 devs · median $449 · 14 announced
  11. + SuperheroLong shot11 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  12. + Resource ManagementLong shot13 devs · median $390 · 14 announced

All 129 pairs on the 2D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mortal Kombat 11 older $49.99 87,021 88% 2.6M $131M (exactly $130,505,394) NetherRealm Studios, QLOC, Shiver
Mortal Kombat 1 older $49.99 34,197 74% 1.0M $51M (exactly $51,285,241) NetherRealm Studios, QLOC
Mortal Kombat X older $19.99 39,392 88% 1.2M $24M (exactly $23,623,382) NetherRealm Studios, QLOC
Bleak Sword DX older $9.99 641 76% 19k $192k (exactly $192,108) more8bit
Estella's Nightmare: Sealed Space and a Succubus's Curse older $9.99 512 70% 15k $153k (exactly $153,446) Playmeow
Terrordrome - Reign of the Legends $19.99 168 72% 5.0k $101k (exactly $100,750) Huracan Studio
The Black Heart older $9.99 295 96% 8.9k $88k (exactly $88,412) Andrés Borghi
You are Peter Shorts older $14.99 194 90% 5.8k $87k (exactly $87,242) ondydev
Okinawa Rush older $17.99 120 82% 3.6k $65k (exactly $64,764) Sokaikan ltd
Night Slashers: Remake $9.99 164 61% 4.9k $49k (exactly $49,151) Storm Trident S.A.
Lady Death Demonicron $39.99 36 47% 1.1k $43k (exactly $43,189) Art Of Play Interactive
Terrifier: The ARTcade Game $19.99 56 58% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) Relevo
The Drain · EA $12.99 18 100% 540 $7.0k (exactly $7,015) Hatokuma Games
Beasts of Mystery · EA $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Mutraex
Fight.EXE $7.99 10 100% 300 $2.4k (exactly $2,397) SolidValentine
Skullhunter A Worm's Tale $7.99 10 100% 300 $2.4k (exactly $2,397) Oliver Arett
Shadow Walker $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) trying to code
Hellgame: Prologue $3.99 2 50% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Jack Rhodan, Realscape Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.