Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + 2D Fighter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 2D Fighter Destruction game?

Destruction + 2D Fighter

Only 9 developers shipped a 2D Fighter Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, We Could Be Heroes, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $18k, ×30 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 25 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 25 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + 2D Fighter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Destruction + 2D Fighter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,593)
Top 5% $19k (exactly $18,887)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 32
Announced 25
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, 2D Fighter
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 583 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $900, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Space SimFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  3. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  4. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  5. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  7. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  10. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  11. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  12. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gigapocalypse older $9.99 204 92% 6.1k $61k (exactly $61,139) Goody Gameworks
Attack Heroes older $9.99 164 73% 4.9k $49k (exactly $49,151) Ejoy Games
Astro Duel 2 older $19.99 59 100% 1.8k $35k (exactly $35,382) Rusty Moyher
We Could Be Heroes $14.99 42 85% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) CebCode Games
Galactic Thunderdome $9.99 35 100% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Pansimula
Knockout Battle $4.99 24 70% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Dani Tikka Masala, Alvin Leon Dobric, A… (Dani Tikka Masala, Alvin Leon Dobric, Anton Ploetner)
GasZilla older $4.99 23 91% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) SUJIKO Media Group
Jungle Rumble older $4.99 20 75% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) Reduc corp
Holy Stick! older $4.99 8 100% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Always Too Late
Robots with Guns $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Flash of Stars
Anarkade $14.99 2 100% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Pixelatom
Stickplosion · EA $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) Ghost World Gaming
Terra Fighters $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) 74BIT
Gorilla vs Yeti $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Riaan
Chicken Battlefield $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) chickenbattlefielddevs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.