Do I ship it?

Games2D Fighter2D Fighter + Dark Fantasy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dark-Fantasy 2D Fighter?

2D Fighter + Dark Fantasy

Of 37 developers who shipped a Dark-Fantasy 2D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 20 developers shipped in the last year and 58 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 58 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Fighter + Dark Fantasy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $1.9k → $809 → $570 → $120 → $330 → $12k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Fighter + Dark Fantasy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 5% $1.6M (exactly $1,594,186)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 103
Announced 58
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
Dark Fantasy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
2D Fighter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action RPG, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 5,375 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $1.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds8 devs · median $4.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair11 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  3. + Card BattlerFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  4. + DeckbuildingFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Auto BattlerFair16 devs · median $719 · 19 announced
  6. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $599 · 18 announced
  7. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  8. + SimulationFair51 devs · median $598 · 55 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $538 · 13 announced
  10. + ManagementFair10 devs · median $449 · 14 announced
  11. + SuperheroLong shot11 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  12. + Resource ManagementLong shot13 devs · median $390 · 14 announced

All 129 pairs on the 2D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mortal Kombat: Legacy Kollection $49.99 1,214 63% 36k $1.8M (exactly $1,820,636) Digital Eclipse
SiNiSistar 2 $14.99 3,545 90% 106k $1.6M (exactly $1,594,186) Uu
Umineko: Golden Fantasia older $24.99 472 91% 14k $354k (exactly $353,858) 07th Expansion
Song of Iron older $19.99 358 72% 11k $215k (exactly $214,693) Resting Relic
Bleak Sword DX older $9.99 641 76% 19k $192k (exactly $192,108) more8bit
Estella's Nightmare: Sealed Space and a Succubus's Curse older $9.99 512 70% 15k $153k (exactly $153,446) Playmeow
Two Strikes $14.99 256 89% 7.7k $115k (exactly $115,123) Retro Reactor
The Black Heart older $9.99 295 96% 8.9k $88k (exactly $88,412) Andrés Borghi
Trials of Valor $18.99 100 95% 3.0k $57k (exactly $56,970) Armored Goblin
DaemonBride:ADDITIONAL GAIN $19.99 94 82% 2.8k $56k (exactly $56,372) Team Arcana, Kizawaya
Lady Death Demonicron $39.99 36 47% 1.1k $43k (exactly $43,189) Art Of Play Interactive
WORLD HEROES PERFECT $19.99 50 86% 1.5k $30k (exactly $29,985) Code Mystics
face the immortal · EA $17.99 41 92% 1.2k $22k (exactly $22,128) DY
Type or Die $13.99 29 31% 870 $12k (exactly $12,171) Type or Die
Hammer of Pain $10.99 10 80% 300 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) SleepingFrog

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.