Do I ship it?

Games2D Fighter2D Fighter + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk 2D Fighter?

2D Fighter + Cyberpunk

Only 11 developers shipped a Cyberpunk 2D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Immortal Joan: Cyber Revolution, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×5.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150, ×0.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59. 43 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper, while revenue is down 10% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 43 announced, ×5.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
2D Fighter + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.6k → $3.4M → $719 → $150 (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 2D Fighter + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,797)
Top 5% $9.9k (exactly $9,856)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 57
Announced 43
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

2D Fighter
effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
2D Fighter
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 70% positive over 88 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $150, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $9.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 43 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

2D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomanceStrong odds8 devs · median $4.0k · 6 announced
  2. + Visual NovelFair11 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  3. + Card BattlerFair10 devs · median $1.0k · 11 announced
  4. + DeckbuildingFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Auto BattlerFair16 devs · median $719 · 19 announced
  6. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $599 · 18 announced
  7. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $599 · 12 announced
  8. + SimulationFair51 devs · median $598 · 55 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair16 devs · median $538 · 13 announced
  10. + ManagementFair10 devs · median $449 · 14 announced
  11. + SuperheroLong shot11 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  12. + Resource ManagementLong shot13 devs · median $390 · 14 announced

All 129 pairs on the 2D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BlazBlue Entropy Effect older $19.99 30,410 94% 912k $18M (exactly $18,236,877) 91Act
Anomaly Agent older $11.99 9,463 94% 284k $3.4M (exactly $3,403,841) Phew Phew Games
Punch Planet - Early Access · EA older $19.99 171 91% 5.1k $103k (exactly $102,549) Sector-K Games
God of Rock older $29.99 54 50% 1.6k $49k (exactly $48,584) Maximum Entertainment
Astro Duel 2 older $19.99 59 100% 1.8k $35k (exactly $35,382) Rusty Moyher
TERRORHYTHM (TRRT) - Rhythm driven action beat 'em up! older $19.99 47 72% 1.4k $28k (exactly $28,186) EvilCoGames
Battle Girls older $9.99 80 85% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,976) Dharker Studios
Fight of Steel: Infinity Warrior older $12.99 60 93% 1.8k $23k (exactly $23,382) Digital Crafter
Immortal Joan: Cyber Revolution $6.99 47 46% 1.4k $9.9k (exactly $9,856) 康师傅红烧甜不辣
Scrap Riders older $19.99 16 81% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Games For Tutti
Heatwave $10.00 21 95% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,300) Monochromesoft
Lone Warrior's Fist $5.99 10 100% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) CreatiCell Games
The Ape Tales: An Epic Adventure Game $5.99 4 100% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Roker Games Studio
Cyber Girl 2.0: RUNNING $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) PsychoGameFan
Dash Duels $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) DIG Games
Shape Showdown $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) ZellyDev
QuickFighter $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Prime
Astray: Zero $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Little Studio
赛博杀手 Cyberkiller2049 $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Finch Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.