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Should I ship an Adventure 2D Fighter?
2D Fighter + Adventure
Of 182 developers who shipped an Adventure 2D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 300 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 97 developers shipped in the last year and 300 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $239 (exactly $239) |
| Top 25% | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) |
| Top 5% | $46k (exactly $45,554) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 182 |
| Released games | 626 |
| Announced | 300 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 2D Fighter
- effort 5 / 10 · low · frame-precise animation and rollback netcode
- Adventure
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 2D Fighter, Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, 2D Platformer
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Side Scroller, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 13,116 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 115 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 300 games are announced against 97 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
2D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomanceStrong odds
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + IdlerFair
- + RhythmFair
- + SimulationFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + ManagementFair
- + SuperheroLong shot
- + Resource ManagementLong shot
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Street Fighter™ 6 | older | $39.99 | 49,952 81% | 1.5M | $60M (exactly $59,927,414) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. |
| | Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles | older | $59.99 | 16,545 87% | 496k | $30M (exactly $29,776,036) | CyberConnect2 |
| | BlazBlue Entropy Effect | older | $19.99 | 30,410 94% | 912k | $18M (exactly $18,236,877) | 91Act |
| | Ultra Street Fighter® IV | older | $29.99 | 11,054 91% | 332k | $9.9M (exactly $9,945,284) | Capcom |
| | Kingdom Rush Vengeance - Tower Defense | older | $19.99 | 9,906 93% | 297k | $5.9M (exactly $5,940,628) | Ironhide Game Studio |
| | Invincible VS | $49.99 | 3,031 76% | 91k | $4.5M (exactly $4,545,591) | Quarter Up | |
| | Path of Kung Fu | $14.99 | 4,880 72% | 146k | $2.2M (exactly $2,194,536) | 游鲤化龙工作室 | |
| | SiNiSistar 2 | $14.99 | 3,545 90% | 106k | $1.6M (exactly $1,594,186) | Uu | |
| | Kung Fury: Street Rage - Ultimate Edition | older | $19.99 | 2,251 89% | 68k | $1.3M (exactly $1,349,925) | Hello There Games |
| | TowerFall Ascension | older | $14.99 | 2,942 95% | 88k | $1.3M (exactly $1,323,017) | Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Ga… (Maddy Makes Games Inc., Extremely OK Games, Ltd.) |
| | Halluci-Sabbat of Koishi | $7.99 | 701 91% | 21k | $168k (exactly $168,030) | ZRIGN 地霊研究院 | |
| | IGS Classic Arcade Collection | $29.99 | 94 60% | 2.8k | $85k (exactly $84,572) | IGS(台灣鈊象電子) | |
| | IGNOBLE | $6.99 | 331 82% | 9.9k | $69k (exactly $69,411) | Retromagine | |
| | Age of Barbarians Chronicles | $18.99 | 101 76% | 3.0k | $58k (exactly $57,540) | Crian Soft | |
| | PlatyGuard: Swarm Slayer | $14.99 | 117 74% | 3.5k | $53k (exactly $52,615) | ChillyRoom | |
| | Night Slashers: Remake | $9.99 | 164 61% | 4.9k | $49k (exactly $49,151) | Storm Trident S.A. | |
| | Men against Lizards | $9.99 | 152 93% | 4.6k | $46k (exactly $45,554) | VICTORIA Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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