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Should I ship a Visual Novel Tower Defense?
Tower Defense + Visual Novel
Only 6 developers shipped a Visual Novel Tower Defense in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Swarm Bunker: Lust Defense, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.6k against a market of $480. 21 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.6k (exactly $2,637) |
| Top 25% | $62k (exactly $61,676) |
| Top 5% | $116k (exactly $115,684) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 21 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Tower Defense
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Tower Defense, Visual Novel
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 7,027 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 21 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Tower Defense with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + DwarvesStrong odds
- + MiningFair
- + Survival HorrorFair
- + CapitalismFair
- + TanksFair
- + MechsFair
- + IdlerFair
- + PuzzleFair
- + Gun CustomizationFair
- + LogicFair
- + On-Rails ShooterFair
- + Psychological HorrorFair
Comparable games
Resist the succubus—The end of the female Knight 2024 · $698k 
Dungeon's Legion 2023 · $344k 
Guardians of Eden-Embrace of the Forest 2024 · $221k 
Love n War: Warlord by Chance 2021 · $195k 
Beautiful Mystic Defenders 2022 · $120k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Resist the succubus—The end of the female Knight | older | $16.99 | 1,370 74% | 41k | $698k (exactly $698,289) | BoRoBoRoGame |
| | Dungeon's Legion | older | $19.99 | 573 87% | 17k | $344k (exactly $343,628) | LunaSoft |
| | Guardians of Eden-Embrace of the Forest | older | $10.99 | 671 90% | 20k | $221k (exactly $221,229) | Black Cat Entertainment |
| | Love n War: Warlord by Chance | older | $4.99 | 1,305 86% | 39k | $195k (exactly $195,358) | Reborn Entertainment |
| | Beautiful Mystic Defenders | older | $6.99 | 570 82% | 17k | $120k (exactly $119,529) | Fantasize Games |
 | Swarm Bunker: Lust Defense | $9.99 | 386 88% | 12k | $116k (exactly $115,684) | 001Studio-NSFW | |
 | Royal Defense | older | $14.99 | 246 70% | 7.4k | $111k (exactly $110,626) | Good Games, Creobit |
 | Fort Defense | older | $14.99 | 232 78% | 7.0k | $104k (exactly $104,330) | Creobit |
 | Love n War: Hero by Chance | older | $2.99 | 1,145 79% | 34k | $103k (exactly $102,707) | Reborn Entertainment |
 | Love n War: Hero by Chance II | older | $5.99 | 529 81% | 16k | $95k (exactly $95,061) | Reborn Entertainment |
 | Dream Lust | $4.99 | 412 84% | 12k | $62k (exactly $61,676) | Cat Paw Game | |
 | Notice Me Leena-senpai! | $7.99 | 11 81% | 330 | $2.6k (exactly $2,637) | Yanako RPGs, GameDevTosh | |
 | Entwined Roots | $6.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $629 (exactly $629) | Frost Canary Games | |
 | The Catalyst Acolyte Tower Defense | $4.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Aio | |
 | Peter's Apostles | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | FUN |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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