Do I ship it?

GamesTower DefenseTower Defense + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Tower Defense?

Tower Defense + Logic

Of 40 developers who shipped a Logic Tower Defense in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×2.0 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $270. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 44 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 44 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tower Defense + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $450 → $450 → $13k → $1.7k → $1.4k → $1.2k → $598 (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tower Defense + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $955 (exactly $955)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,728)
Top 5% $17k (exactly $17,195)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 116
Announced 44
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tower Defense
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Tower Defense, Logic; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Survival, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 434 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $960, 1 in 4 over $2.7k, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tower Defense with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DwarvesStrong odds10 devs · median $6.7k · 9 announced
  2. + MiningFair33 devs · median $6.3k · 45 announced
  3. + Survival HorrorFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 20 announced
  5. + TanksFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  6. + MechsFair24 devs · median $1.5k · 24 announced
  7. + IdlerFair108 devs · median $1.2k · 136 announced
  8. + PuzzleFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 67 announced
  9. + Gun CustomizationFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  10. + On-Rails ShooterFair11 devs · median $899 · 12 announced
  11. + Psychological HorrorFair8 devs · median $897 · 8 announced
  12. + Turn-Based CombatFair28 devs · median $839 · 34 announced

All 150 pairs on the Tower Defense page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Progressbar95 older $4.99 3,473 96% 104k $520k (exactly $519,908) Igor Uduslivii
Tech Blast $39.99 90 92% 2.7k $108k (exactly $107,973) Galactic Geckon
Broken Universe - Tower Defense older $9.99 289 90% 8.7k $87k (exactly $86,613) Jinthree Studio
Winged Sakura: Mindy's Arc older $9.99 149 79% 4.5k $45k (exactly $44,655) WINGED SAKURA GAMES
Sweet Dreams Alex older $14.99 58 94% 1.7k $26k (exactly $26,083) Clarity Games
Project Astra Dominium older $9.99 69 88% 2.1k $21k (exactly $20,679) Snob Entertainment UG
Golemworks $6.99 82 90% 2.5k $17k (exactly $17,195) evilalbert
Underwater battles older $39.99 12 75% 360 $14k (exactly $14,396) Stas Paty9mkin
Ooglians · EA older $1.99 234 63% 7.0k $14k (exactly $13,970) Simon Bäckström
Omnibullet older $11.99 36 100% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,949) Arbitrary Combination
Realm $29.99 11 72% 330 $9.9k (exactly $9,897) Mighty Pixel Crew
Spires of Morosith: Gossamer Sundered $14.99 17 76% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) Dead Yeti Clown Car
ParryMaster $2.99 72 75% 2.2k $6.5k (exactly $6,458) GOGOIO Games
Zombies and Orcs $9.99 16 62% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Gamesforgames
Gelluloid Domination $11.99 13 84% 390 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Tractor Set GO!
Sphere TD · EA $13.99 9 100% 270 $3.8k (exactly $3,777) Standard Issue Games
Grumpy Gaffer $0.99 117 94% 3.5k $3.5k (exactly $3,475) RC Games Studio
Falling Stars... and other celestial objects $12.99 7 100% 210 $2.7k (exactly $2,728) From The Moon

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.