Do I ship it?

Games › Tower Defense › Tower Defense + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Tower Defense?

Tower Defense + Supernatural

Only 17 developers shipped a Supernatural Tower Defense in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Night is Coming, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, level with the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is flat on the market; 20 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 20 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tower Defense + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $958 → $30 → $4.1k (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tower Defense + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 5% $290k (exactly $290,134)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 26
Announced 20
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tower Defense
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Tower Defense; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Base Building, City Builder
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 822 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $480, 1 in 4 over $1.0k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tower Defense with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DwarvesStrong odds10 devs · median $6.7k · 9 announced
  2. + MiningFair33 devs · median $6.3k · 45 announced
  3. + Survival HorrorFair14 devs · median $1.9k · 16 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair15 devs · median $1.6k · 20 announced
  5. + TanksFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 13 announced
  6. + MechsFair24 devs · median $1.5k · 24 announced
  7. + IdlerFair108 devs · median $1.2k · 136 announced
  8. + PuzzleFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 67 announced
  9. + Gun CustomizationFair26 devs · median $958 · 32 announced
  10. + LogicFair40 devs · median $955 · 44 announced
  11. + On-Rails ShooterFair11 devs · median $899 · 12 announced
  12. + Psychological HorrorFair8 devs · median $897 · 8 announced

All 150 pairs on the Tower Defense page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Kunitsu-Gami: Path of the Goddess 2024 · $2.3M Necrosmith 2022 · $438k Night is Coming 2025 · EA · $290k Ghost Master: Resurrection 2026 · $224k Monos: The Endless Tower 2023 · $5.4k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Kunitsu-Gami: Path of the Goddess older $39.99 1,898 92% 57k $2.3M (exactly $2,277,031) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Necrosmith older $2.99 4,885 85% 147k $438k (exactly $438,185) Alawar
Night is Coming · EA $24.99 387 59% 12k $290k (exactly $290,134) Wild Forest Studio
Ghost Master: Resurrection $19.99 374 82% 11k $224k (exactly $224,288) Mechano Story Studio
Monos: The Endless Tower older $8.99 20 80% 600 $5.4k (exactly $5,394) EvilStar Studios
Runeomicon $9.99 14 92% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) TLR Games
Monolilith · EA $7.99 17 88% 510 $4.1k (exactly $4,075) Malerouille
HexDefense older $5.00 8 62% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,200) Glovebox Software
Impious Pumpkins older $4.99 8 75% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Note Missing Games
Kings of Cratia $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) eniscoskun
King Quest $15.99 2 0% 60 $959 (exactly $959) slc studios
Last Stronghold $3.99 8 62% 240 $958 (exactly $958) skR1me
NecroFarm $2.99 10 60% 300 $897 (exactly $897) Podigi Games
Witchtower: Spell Siege $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) One Billion Bees
Mobs 'N Monsters $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Ghostie Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.