Do I ship it?

GamesRogueliteRoguelite + Word Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Word Game Roguelite?

Roguelite + Word Game

Of 43 developers who shipped a Word Game Roguelite in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $310k, ×661 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 52 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 52 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Roguelite + Word Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $538 → $9.7k → $2.2k → $22k → $2.2k → $1.8k (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Roguelite + Word Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $267 (exactly $267)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,155)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $18,340)
Top 5% $314k (exactly $313,891)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 70
Announced 52
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Roguelite, Word Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelike, Deckbuilding
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 7,424 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $310k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 52 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Roguelite with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-TimeFair11 devs · median $11k · 14 announced
  2. + ProgrammingFair24 devs · median $9.3k · 28 announced
  3. + VampiresFair60 devs · median $4.8k · 62 announced
  4. + TypingFair29 devs · median $2.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair21 devs · median $2.0k · 23 announced
  6. + IdlerFair166 devs · median $1.5k · 235 announced
  7. + DogsFair30 devs · median $1.3k · 22 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair23 devs · median $1.1k · 23 announced
  9. + Score AttackFair344 devs · median $719 · 450 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair94 devs · median $600 · 121 announced
  11. + LogicFair144 devs · median $599 · 143 announced
  12. + DwarvesPoor odds21 devs · median $74k · 24 announced

All 229 pairs on the Roguelite page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Glyphica: Typing Survival · EA $9.99 2,488 90% 75k $746k (exactly $745,654) aliasBLACK
Pronoun Palace $19.84 1,249 99% 37k $743k (exactly $743,405) Cadence Petersen, Hazel Fackler
Cursed Words: The Word Game That Isn't $14.99 698 95% 21k $314k (exactly $313,891) Buried Things
懒人修仙传2 · EA older $7.99 873 71% 26k $209k (exactly $209,258) 托更的修罗
轮回修仙传 $4.99 1,085 81% 33k $162k (exactly $162,424) Collider Studio
Traditional Chinese Medicine Simulator · EA older $14.99 304 96% 9.1k $137k (exactly $136,709) 曲波
Wordatro! $9.99 401 85% 12k $120k (exactly $120,180) Le Poulet
挂机神话 older $1.99 1,693 90% 51k $101k (exactly $101,072) 狮子
小小侠客模拟器 $2.99 1,103 86% 33k $99k (exactly $98,939) 小小游戏
Lost:Antinomy older $2.99 1,042 88% 31k $93k (exactly $93,467) IMaiIna
MORSE $13.99 124 93% 3.7k $52k (exactly $52,043) ALJO Games
Beyond Words $14.99 102 84% 3.1k $46k (exactly $45,869) MindFuel Games
TypInc. $9.99 102 74% 3.1k $31k (exactly $30,569) Game Game Games
OMG Words $9.99 72 79% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,578) Dave

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.