Do I ship it?

GamesRogueliteRoguelite + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Roguelite?

Roguelite + Logic

Of 144 developers who shipped a Logic Roguelite in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 143 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $120. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 143 games are announced against 96 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 143 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Roguelite + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 144
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $1.3k → $2.2k → $359 → $2.0k → $299 (still earning) → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Roguelite + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 144
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,315)
Top 5% $77k (exactly $76,723)
Developers, 2 yr 144
Released games 229
Announced 143
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Roguelite, Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelike, Deckbuilding
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 8,628 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $76k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 52 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 143 games are announced against 96 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Roguelite with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-TimeFair11 devs · median $11k · 14 announced
  2. + ProgrammingFair24 devs · median $9.3k · 28 announced
  3. + VampiresFair60 devs · median $4.8k · 62 announced
  4. + TypingFair29 devs · median $2.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair21 devs · median $2.0k · 23 announced
  6. + IdlerFair166 devs · median $1.5k · 235 announced
  7. + DogsFair30 devs · median $1.3k · 22 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair23 devs · median $1.1k · 23 announced
  9. + Score AttackFair344 devs · median $719 · 450 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair94 devs · median $600 · 121 announced
  11. + DwarvesPoor odds21 devs · median $74k · 24 announced
  12. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds21 devs · median $50k · 31 announced

All 229 pairs on the Roguelite page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
Glyphica: Typing Survival · EA $9.99 2,488 90% 75k $746k (exactly $745,654) aliasBLACK
Quantum Protocol older $12.99 625 90% 19k $244k (exactly $243,562) Kaio Meris
Tower Networking Inc. · EA $19.99 317 95% 9.5k $190k (exactly $190,105) Pocosia Studios
Let's! Revolution! older $19.99 317 92% 9.5k $190k (exactly $190,105) BUCK Games, Antfood
Passant: A Chess Roguelike $11.99 363 79% 11k $131k (exactly $130,571) Marc Makes Games
Net.Attack() - Code or Die! $7.99 510 80% 15k $122k (exactly $122,247) ByteRockers' Games
Wordatro! $9.99 401 85% 12k $120k (exactly $120,180) Le Poulet
小小侠客模拟器 $2.99 1,103 86% 33k $99k (exactly $98,939) 小小游戏
Infinity Sweeper $9.99 256 59% 7.7k $77k (exactly $76,723) Longshot Studio
868-BACK $19.99 122 98% 3.7k $73k (exactly $73,163) Michael Brough
SkyShard: City Battler · EA $14.99 106 97% 3.2k $48k (exactly $47,668) ItsBen321

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.