Do I ship it?

GamesRogueliteRoguelite + Vampires

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vampire Roguelite?

Roguelite + Vampires

Of 60 developers who shipped a Vampire Roguelite in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×7.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 62 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 62 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Roguelite + Vampires
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 60
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $25k → $44k → $3.6k → $19k → $1.2k → $6.7k → $11k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Roguelite + Vampires: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 60
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $4.8k (exactly $4,790)
Top 25% $40k (exactly $39,521)
Top 5% $429k (exactly $429,124)
Developers, 2 yr 60
Released games 117
Announced 62
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Vampires
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Roguelite; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Action Roguelike, Action
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 30,521 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $4.8k, 1 in 4 over $39k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 27 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Roguelite with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-TimeFair11 devs · median $11k · 14 announced
  2. + ProgrammingFair24 devs · median $9.3k · 28 announced
  3. + TypingFair29 devs · median $2.4k · 34 announced
  4. + Grand StrategyFair21 devs · median $2.0k · 23 announced
  5. + IdlerFair166 devs · median $1.5k · 235 announced
  6. + DogsFair30 devs · median $1.3k · 22 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair23 devs · median $1.1k · 23 announced
  8. + Score AttackFair344 devs · median $719 · 450 announced
  9. + Point & ClickFair94 devs · median $600 · 121 announced
  10. + LogicFair144 devs · median $599 · 143 announced
  11. + DwarvesPoor odds21 devs · median $74k · 24 announced
  12. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds21 devs · median $50k · 31 announced

All 229 pairs on the Roguelite page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Vampire Survivors older $4.99 251,686 98% 7.6M $38M (exactly $37,677,394) poncle
Vampire Crawlers: The Turbo Wildcard from Vampire Survivors $9.99 18,587 96% 558k $5.6M (exactly $5,570,524) poncle, Nosebleed Interactive
Apocalypse Party older $9.99 4,658 72% 140k $1.4M (exactly $1,396,003) Breaker Games
Nunholy $7.99 5,150 88% 155k $1.2M (exactly $1,234,455) Chowbie
Rogue Lords older $24.99 1,442 71% 43k $1.1M (exactly $1,081,067) Leikir Studio, Cyanide Studio
Boneraiser Minions older $4.99 4,967 96% 149k $744k (exactly $743,560) caiys
Necrosmith older $2.99 4,885 85% 147k $438k (exactly $438,185) Alawar
Rocket Rats $5.99 2,388 94% 72k $429k (exactly $429,124) Gagonfe
Asgard's Fall — Viking Survivors $9.99 1,301 79% 39k $390k (exactly $389,910) Soulpotion
Night Swarm $9.99 1,142 78% 34k $342k (exactly $342,257) Fubu Games
Menherarium: Deadly Dice $8.99 669 92% 20k $180k (exactly $180,429) テスカトリポカ
Few Nights More $14.99 382 81% 11k $172k (exactly $171,785) Aeterna Ludi
Touhou ~Red Empress Devil. $8.99 438 70% 13k $118k (exactly $118,129) STUDIO POCO
Internet Survivor Survivors $14.99 234 75% 7.0k $105k (exactly $105,230) ビートまりお / COOL&CREATE
Hordes of Hunger $14.99 230 72% 6.9k $103k (exactly $103,431) Hyperstrange

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.