Do I ship it?

GamesRogueliteRoguelite + Superhero

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Superhero Roguelite?

Roguelite + Superhero

Only 11 developers shipped a Superhero Roguelite in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Superhero Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×104 the market median. Revenue is up 380% on the market; 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 380% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Roguelite + Superhero
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $22k → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Roguelite + Superhero: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $600 (exactly $600)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $15,561)
Top 5% $156k (exactly $155,800)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 25
Announced 17
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 380% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Superhero
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Roguelite
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 1,102 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Roguelite with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-TimeFair11 devs · median $11k · 14 announced
  2. + ProgrammingFair24 devs · median $9.3k · 28 announced
  3. + VampiresFair60 devs · median $4.8k · 62 announced
  4. + TypingFair29 devs · median $2.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Grand StrategyFair21 devs · median $2.0k · 23 announced
  6. + IdlerFair166 devs · median $1.5k · 235 announced
  7. + DogsFair30 devs · median $1.3k · 22 announced
  8. + Walking SimulatorFair23 devs · median $1.1k · 23 announced
  9. + Score AttackFair344 devs · median $719 · 450 announced
  10. + Point & ClickFair94 devs · median $600 · 121 announced
  11. + LogicFair144 devs · median $599 · 143 announced
  12. + DwarvesPoor odds21 devs · median $74k · 24 announced

All 229 pairs on the Roguelite page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
X-Angels older $10.99 614 89% 18k $202k (exactly $202,436) Barance Studio
Superhero Simulator · EA $5.99 867 73% 26k $156k (exactly $155,800) mightyraccoon! Studios
Widow in the Endless Labyrinth older $14.99 133 78% 4.0k $60k (exactly $59,810) Hajime Doujin Circle
Chenso Club older $9.99 83 74% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,875) Pixadome
Lethal Honor - Order of the Apocalypse $24.99 29 96% 870 $22k (exactly $21,741) Viral Studios
Ghosts Keep Out $3.99 130 75% 3.9k $16k (exactly $15,561) Only Fun Games
Idle Superpowers older $6.99 61 77% 1.8k $13k (exactly $12,792) Lutsgames
Chop is dish older $6.99 33 72% 990 $6.9k (exactly $6,920) HugePixel
Second Rate Superheroes older $4.99 33 75% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) Fun Asylum Studio
Overrun Survivors · EA older $4.99 30 56% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) Midquest Games
DREADMARCH $4.99 24 79% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) MM88
Cowboy Busy: Mowdown $3.99 25 84% 750 $3.0k (exactly $2,992) Only Fun Games
Sentinel Point Heroes · EA $10.99 6 100% 180 $2.0k (exactly $1,978) Jellybane
Big Trouble in Little Chimney $4.99 9 77% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) FobTi interactive
WorldWatch: Superhero Bullet Heaven · EA $3.59 10 100% 300 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) Moldy&Abet Games, Paper Dudes Game… (Moldy&Abet Games, Paper Dudes Game Studio)
FULL BET - FIGHTING CASINO - $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) FlatMountain
Mystic Warfare · EA $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) SECRET PAPER

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.