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Should I ship a Spaceship Roguelite?
Roguelite + Spaceships
Only 14 developers shipped a Spaceship Roguelite in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Jump Space, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $11k, ×18 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $6.4M, ×10241 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 13 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $11k (exactly $11,242) |
| Top 25% | $66k (exactly $65,656) |
| Top 5% | $6.4M (exactly $6,431,183) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 35 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Roguelite
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Spaceships
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Roguelite; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Roguelike, Action
- Price point
- $14.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 12,927 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 4 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Roguelite with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Real-TimeFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TypingFair
- + Grand StrategyFair
- + IdlerFair
- + DogsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LogicFair
- + DwarvesPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Jump Space | · EA | $19.99 | 10,724 85% | 322k | $6.4M (exactly $6,431,183) | Keepsake Games |
| | Shortest Trip to Earth | older | $25.99 | 1,257 76% | 38k | $980k (exactly $980,083) | Interactive Fate |
| | Uncle Chop's Rocket Shop | $19.99 | 1,108 84% | 33k | $664k (exactly $664,468) | Beard Envy | |
| | Reality Break | $24.99 | 683 80% | 20k | $512k (exactly $512,045) | Element Games, LLC | |
| | For The Warp | older | $14.99 | 434 72% | 13k | $195k (exactly $195,170) | Massive Galaxy Studios |
| | Power of Ten | older | $11.99 | 248 79% | 7.4k | $89k (exactly $89,206) | Pew Times Three |
| | Dimensions: Dreadnought Architect | · EA older | $15.99 | 184 55% | 5.5k | $88k (exactly $88,265) | Craft Theory |
| | Godrop | older | $8.99 | 269 93% | 8.1k | $73k (exactly $72,549) | KATOR Game Studio, ZeroCastle game Stud… (KATOR Game Studio, ZeroCastle game Studio) |
| | Clonizer | $14.99 | 146 82% | 4.4k | $66k (exactly $65,656) | Juicy Plume | |
| | Hyperspace Deck Command | $19.99 | 91 95% | 2.7k | $55k (exactly $54,573) | Sleeper Games | |
| | Takara Cards | $14.99 | 112 83% | 3.4k | $50k (exactly $50,366) | Post Mortem Pixels | |
| | Fleetbreakers | · EA | $14.99 | 25 96% | 750 | $11k (exactly $11,242) | Last Keep |
| | Seven Suns of Orion | $4.99 | 22 100% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | FerroFerrous | |
| | Lonely tiny spaceship | $3.99 | 12 83% | 360 | $1.4k (exactly $1,436) | Lonely bro | |
| | Fire Everything! | $4.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | MindWroughtGames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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