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Should I ship a Solitaire Roguelite?
Roguelite + Solitaire
Of 58 developers who shipped a Solitaire Roguelite in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 88 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×253 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 88 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) |
| Top 5% | $120k (exactly $120,180) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 58 |
| Released games | 86 |
| Announced | 88 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Roguelite, Solitaire; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Deckbuilding, Card Game
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Relaxing
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,530 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 88 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Roguelite with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Real-TimeFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TypingFair
- + Grand StrategyFair
- + IdlerFair
- + DogsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LogicFair
- + DwarvesPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Stacklands | older | $7.99 | 29,244 96% | 877k | $7.0M (exactly $7,009,787) | Sokpop Collective |
| | Cardboard Town | older | $19.99 | 2,051 79% | 62k | $1.2M (exactly $1,229,985) | Stratera Games, cukuto |
| | Rana Card | $12.99 | 1,183 89% | 35k | $461k (exactly $461,015) | VisionRana | |
| | Zoominoes | $14.99 | 549 91% | 16k | $247k (exactly $246,885) | Starlight Games inc. | |
| | Dice Player One | older | $14.99 | 456 90% | 14k | $205k (exactly $205,063) | KDream |
| | Solitairica | older | $9.99 | 436 78% | 13k | $131k (exactly $130,669) | Righteous Hammer Games |
| | Wordatro! | $9.99 | 401 85% | 12k | $120k (exactly $120,180) | Le Poulet | |
| | Photogenic Minds : Identity | older | $19.99 | 89 88% | 2.7k | $53k (exactly $53,373) | 727 Not Hound |
| | Minesweeper: Collector | older | $7.99 | 132 88% | 4.0k | $32k (exactly $31,640) | Anton Kryukov |
| | Arcana Academy | $14.99 | 67 71% | 2.0k | $30k (exactly $30,130) | 2A Studio | |
| | 纵横麻将 Matrix Mahjong | $9.99 | 66 90% | 2.0k | $20k (exactly $19,780) | Chao8games | |
| | Decks of the Damned | $9.99 | 54 68% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $16,184) | Thorian Games | |
| | It's time, Your Majesty | $6.99 | 77 64% | 2.3k | $16k (exactly $16,147) | String studio | |
| | WAGON | $10.99 | 38 94% | 1.1k | $13k (exactly $12,529) | de_husk | |
| | Oracle 5000 | $10.99 | 30 63% | 900 | $9.9k (exactly $9,891) | Tripple Y, 疯狂地蛋工作室 | |
| | Cribbish | $4.99 | 65 81% | 2.0k | $9.7k (exactly $9,730) | Fence Post Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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