Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzlePuzzle + Word Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Word Game Puzzle game?

Puzzle + Word Game

Of 209 developers who shipped a Word Game Puzzle game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 211 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×6.0 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 211 games are announced against 142 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 211 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle + Word Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 209
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $838 → $1.6k → $2.4k → $600 → $898 → $1.0k → $719 (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Puzzle + Word Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 209
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,588)
Top 5% $111k (exactly $110,589)
Developers, 2 yr 209
Released games 620
Announced 211
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data
Word Game
effort 1 / 10 · high · dictionary logic and simple UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Puzzle, Word Game; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 30,039 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $720, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 112 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 211 games are announced against 142 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair57 devs · median $8.2k · 53 announced
  2. + Medical SimFair17 devs · median $6.1k · 27 announced
  3. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair40 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair161 devs · median $1.8k · 150 announced
  5. + VampiresFair46 devs · median $1.7k · 37 announced
  6. + CatsFair281 devs · median $1.2k · 334 announced
  7. + DemonsFair233 devs · median $1.2k · 248 announced
  8. + God GameFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  9. + RomanceFair209 devs · median $1.0k · 251 announced
  10. + AutomationFair135 devs · median $1.0k · 164 announced
  11. + Tower DefenseFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 67 announced
  12. + LemmingsFair13 devs · median $959 · 11 announced

All 246 pairs on the Puzzle page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Chants of Sennaar older $19.99 30,416 98% 912k $18M (exactly $18,240,475) Rundisc
Word Game older $34.99 5,930 93% 178k $6.2M (exactly $6,224,721) Team9
Cyber Manhunt older $9.99 14,520 92% 436k $4.4M (exactly $4,351,644) Aluba Van+
The Weeping Swan: Ten Days of the City's Fall $11.99 8,227 58% 247k $3.0M (exactly $2,959,252) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
Mandate Of Heaven $14.99 5,446 91% 163k $2.4M (exactly $2,449,066) 木焱工作室
The Séance of Blake Manor $19.99 3,683 95% 110k $2.2M (exactly $2,208,695) Spooky Doorway
WILL: A Wonderful World / WILL:美好世界 older $14.99 4,588 92% 138k $2.1M (exactly $2,063,224) WMY Studio
Cyber Manhunt 2: New World - The Hacking Simulator $12.99 5,191 92% 156k $2.0M (exactly $2,022,933) Aluba Van+
月华辉映之刻 $11.99 4,227 89% 127k $1.5M (exactly $1,520,452) 侠客狗工作室
Our End of the World older $9.99 4,453 79% 134k $1.3M (exactly $1,334,564) 橘子班, 大好网
Pronoun Palace $19.84 1,249 99% 37k $743k (exactly $743,405) Cadence Petersen, Hazel Fackler
Noun Town Language Learning $19.99 708 84% 21k $425k (exactly $424,588) SUPER HYPER MEGA
LOK Digital $14.99 506 99% 15k $228k (exactly $227,548) Letibus Design, Icedrop Games
CaseCracker3 $12.99 359 84% 11k $140k (exactly $139,902) BlackRobe
Lingo 2 $9.99 443 93% 13k $133k (exactly $132,767) Brenton Wildes

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.