Do I ship it?

GamesLemmingsLemmings + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Lemmings game?

Lemmings + Puzzle

Only 13 developers shipped a Puzzle Lemmings game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Craftlings, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×2.0 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $120. Revenue is up 505% on the market; 11 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 505% on the market, 11 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Lemmings + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $77k → $120 → $1.6k → $2.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Lemmings + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $959 (exactly $959)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 5% $187k (exactly $186,507)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 66
Announced 11
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 505% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Lemmings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Lemmings, Puzzle; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Building, City Builder, Logic
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 440 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $960, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Lemmings with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Puzzle PlatformerDead4 devs · median $2.7k · 5 announced
  2. + ActionDead6 devs · median $2.7k · 3 announced
  3. + StrategyDead8 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  4. + PhysicsDead4 devs · median $802 · 6 announced
  5. + AdventureDead5 devs · median $210 · 10 announced
  6. + PlatformerDead6 devs · median $120 · 5 announced

All 6 pairs on the Lemmings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Zombie Night Terror older $12.99 3,352 93% 101k $1.3M (exactly $1,306,274) NoClip
HUMANITY older $29.99 488 92% 15k $439k (exactly $439,054) tha ltd., Enhance
Contraption Maker older $12.99 922 92% 28k $359k (exactly $359,303) Kevin Ryan
Craftlings $19.99 311 86% 9.3k $187k (exactly $186,507) ARIANO Games GmbH
Tethered older $18.99 200 81% 6.0k $114k (exactly $113,940) Secret Sorcery Limited
Cargo! The Quest for Gravity older $9.99 312 83% 9.4k $94k (exactly $93,506) Ice-Pick Lodge
Moons Of Darsalon older $19.67 131 78% 3.9k $77k (exactly $77,303) Dr. Kucho! Games
MouseCraft older $9.99 200 85% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) Crunching Koalas
Flockers™ older $9.99 158 76% 4.7k $47k (exactly $47,353) Team17 Digital Ltd
Tin Hearts older $19.99 75 85% 2.3k $45k (exactly $44,978) Rogue Sun
Tempopo $19.99 39 97% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Witch Beam
Grooveyard $4.99 35 100% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) GuavaGoose Games
For the Crown $9.99 10 70% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Gierki Dev
Nickelodeon Splat Pack $14.99 6 83% 180 $2.7k (exactly $2,698) Mighty Rabbit Studios
Inflatum $8.99 6 100% 180 $1.6k (exactly $1,618) Michael Henderson, Inflatum Forum, Infl… (Michael Henderson, Inflatum Forum, Inflatum Announcements)
Pit Pioneers $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Shearware
Mine Safety $0.99 27 100% 810 $802 (exactly $802) DIG Games
Royal Impostor $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Maylop Games
Population Goals! $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Thirty55 Design

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.