Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzlePuzzle + Trivia

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Trivia Puzzle game?

Puzzle + Trivia

Of 84 developers who shipped a Trivia Puzzle game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $120 for a 2 / 10 build. 58 developers shipped in the last year and 54 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 54 announced, ×0.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle + Trivia
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 84
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $807 → $239 → $297 → $1.6k → $300 → $921 → $299 (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Puzzle + Trivia: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 84
Bottom 30% $75 (exactly $75)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,876)
Top 5% $33k (exactly $32,967)
Developers, 2 yr 84
Released games 255
Announced 54
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 105% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data
Trivia
effort 1 / 10 · high · question bank and scoring

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Puzzle, Trivia; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 2D, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 37% positive over 23,878 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $75, median $300, 1 in 4 over $2.8k, 1 in 20 over $32k.

3 in 10 developers made under $75. 8 in 10 of the 36 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 58 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair57 devs · median $8.2k · 53 announced
  2. + Medical SimFair17 devs · median $6.1k · 27 announced
  3. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair40 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair161 devs · median $1.8k · 150 announced
  5. + VampiresFair46 devs · median $1.7k · 37 announced
  6. + CatsFair281 devs · median $1.2k · 334 announced
  7. + DemonsFair233 devs · median $1.2k · 248 announced
  8. + God GameFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  9. + RomanceFair209 devs · median $1.0k · 251 announced
  10. + AutomationFair135 devs · median $1.0k · 164 announced
  11. + Tower DefenseFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 67 announced
  12. + LemmingsFair13 devs · median $959 · 11 announced

All 246 pairs on the Puzzle page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BidKing $2.99 22,238 33% 667k $2.0M (exactly $1,994,749) MindSurge Network & Games
The Jackbox Party Pack 10 older $29.99 500 65% 15k $450k (exactly $449,850) Jackbox Games, Inc.
Juufuutei Raden™'s Guide for Pixel Museum $19.99 357 98% 11k $214k (exactly $214,093) Jupiter Corporation
MEMOLOGY: GOYDA older $1.99 1,847 94% 55k $110k (exactly $110,266) hannibalnotdead, Gamesforfarm
Brain Show: Party Game older $14.99 234 73% 7.0k $105k (exactly $105,230) Simplicity Games
Trivia Tricks $14.99 220 93% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) 3-Tricks
Prose & Codes older $9.99 318 99% 9.5k $95k (exactly $95,305) Hero Game Co LLC
你已经猜到结局了吗 older $7.99 388 92% 12k $93k (exactly $93,004) 橘音
The Birth of an Artificial Intelligence older $34.99 54 77% 1.6k $57k (exactly $56,684) 基本操作PlayClass
Party Quiz $11.99 147 80% 4.4k $53k (exactly $52,876) White Ink
探岛海龟汤 $9.99 110 71% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,967) 探岛工作室
KUUKIYOMI: Consider It World - Thailand Ver. $9.99 107 98% 3.2k $32k (exactly $32,068) Urnique Studio
The Angel's Devil Tail - One More Question 2 $9.99 70 91% 2.1k $21k (exactly $20,979) 橘音
DGGWare $8.99 66 93% 2.0k $18k (exactly $17,800) Silkworm
MEMOLOGY 2: OLD TIMES $0.99 527 95% 16k $16k (exactly $15,652) hannibalnotdead, Gamesforfarm
MAELSTROM LEGACY: The Tesla Mystery $10.99 36 69% 1.1k $12k (exactly $11,869) Wistfulware

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.