Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzlePuzzle + Time Travel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time-Travel Puzzle game?

Puzzle + Time Travel

Of 83 developers who shipped a Time-Travel Puzzle game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 129 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×3.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $150k, ×322 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 129 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 129 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle + Time Travel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 83
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $539 → $1.2k → $479 → $2.6k → $987 → $3.1k → $896 (still earning) → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Puzzle + Time Travel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 83
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $19,452)
Top 5% $153k (exactly $152,847)
Developers, 2 yr 83
Released games 266
Announced 129
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data
Time Travel
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Puzzle; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Investigation
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 5,797 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 49 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 129 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair57 devs · median $8.2k · 53 announced
  2. + Medical SimFair17 devs · median $6.1k · 27 announced
  3. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair40 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair161 devs · median $1.8k · 150 announced
  5. + VampiresFair46 devs · median $1.7k · 37 announced
  6. + CatsFair281 devs · median $1.2k · 334 announced
  7. + DemonsFair233 devs · median $1.2k · 248 announced
  8. + God GameFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  9. + RomanceFair209 devs · median $1.0k · 251 announced
  10. + AutomationFair135 devs · median $1.0k · 164 announced
  11. + Tower DefenseFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 67 announced
  12. + LemmingsFair13 devs · median $959 · 11 announced

All 246 pairs on the Puzzle page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Zero Escape: The Nonary Games older $29.99 7,007 92% 210k $6.3M (exactly $6,304,198) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Twelve Minutes older $24.99 7,408 73% 222k $5.6M (exactly $5,553,778) Luis Antonio
Depersonalization older $19.99 6,041 92% 181k $3.6M (exactly $3,622,788) MeowNature
Braid older $14.99 6,941 93% 208k $3.1M (exactly $3,121,368) Number None
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel older $11.99 8,097 96% 243k $2.9M (exactly $2,912,491) Conor Petersen, Thunkspace, LLC
Enigma of Fear $29.99 3,045 95% 91k $2.7M (exactly $2,739,586) Dumativa, Cellbit
Last Day of June older $19.99 2,946 87% 88k $1.8M (exactly $1,766,716) Ovosonico
The Sexy Brutale older $19.99 2,895 91% 87k $1.7M (exactly $1,736,131) Cavalier Game Studios, Tequila Works
Deponia Doomsday older $19.99 2,873 84% 86k $1.7M (exactly $1,722,938) Daedalic Entertainment
Day of the Tentacle Remastered older $14.99 3,536 97% 106k $1.6M (exactly $1,590,139) Double Fine Productions, Shiny Shoe
The Posthumous Investigation $19.99 554 94% 17k $332k (exactly $332,234) Mother Gaia Studio
Cybernetic Fault $14.99 679 78% 20k $305k (exactly $305,346) Whale Rock Games
Wanderer: The Fragments of Fate $49.99 149 62% 4.5k $223k (exactly $223,455) Mighty Eyes
Chronoquartz $9.99 510 98% 15k $153k (exactly $152,847) Infinite Stairs
My Fav Chill Streamer Dies a Million Times|ゆるゆる生配信する推しは100万回死ぬ $34.99 114 92% 3.4k $120k (exactly $119,666) VELUX STUDIO
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
The House of Da Vinci VR $24.99 126 93% 3.8k $94k (exactly $94,462) Blue Brain Games
Mosaic of the Strange $12.99 226 92% 6.8k $88k (exactly $88,072) Mark Ffrench
UnLoop · EA $17.99 163 98% 4.9k $88k (exactly $87,971) Superposition NULL

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.