Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzlePuzzle + Superhero

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Superhero Puzzle game?

Puzzle + Superhero

Only 11 developers shipped a Superhero Puzzle game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hidden Cats in Tokyo, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $540 against a market of $1.5k. 11 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 11 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle + Superhero
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.6k → $31k → $9.4k → $8.6k
Outcomes for Puzzle + Superhero: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $16,367)
Top 5% $31k (exactly $30,908)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 55
Announced 11
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data
Superhero
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Puzzle
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 90% positive over 300 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $540, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $30k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair57 devs · median $8.2k · 53 announced
  2. + Medical SimFair17 devs · median $6.1k · 27 announced
  3. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair40 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair161 devs · median $1.8k · 150 announced
  5. + VampiresFair46 devs · median $1.7k · 37 announced
  6. + CatsFair281 devs · median $1.2k · 334 announced
  7. + DemonsFair233 devs · median $1.2k · 248 announced
  8. + God GameFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  9. + RomanceFair209 devs · median $1.0k · 251 announced
  10. + AutomationFair135 devs · median $1.0k · 164 announced
  11. + Tower DefenseFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 67 announced
  12. + LemmingsFair13 devs · median $959 · 11 announced

All 246 pairs on the Puzzle page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Batman™: Arkham Knight older $19.99 111,190 92% 3.3M $67M (exactly $66,680,643) Rocksteady Studios
Batman: Arkham Asylum Game of the Year Edition older $19.99 62,057 96% 1.9M $37M (exactly $37,215,583) Rocksteady Studios
LEGO® Marvel™ Super Heroes older $19.99 22,663 95% 680k $14M (exactly $13,591,001) Traveller's Tales
LEGO® Batman™: The Videogame older $19.99 12,850 89% 386k $7.7M (exactly $7,706,145) Traveller's Tales
LEGO® Batman™ 3: Beyond Gotham older $19.99 7,521 88% 226k $4.5M (exactly $4,510,344) TT Games Ltd
LEGO® Batman™ 2: DC Super Heroes older $19.99 7,473 94% 224k $4.5M (exactly $4,481,558) TT Games
LEGO® Marvel Super Heroes 2 older $19.99 7,452 86% 224k $4.5M (exactly $4,468,964) TT Games, Feral Interactive (Mac)
LEGO® MARVEL's Avengers older $19.99 5,993 88% 180k $3.6M (exactly $3,594,002) Traveller's Tales, TT Games, Feral Inte… (Traveller's Tales, TT Games, Feral Interactive (Mac))
Scribblenauts Unmasked: A DC Comics Adventure older $19.99 1,941 80% 58k $1.2M (exactly $1,164,018) 5th Cell Media
Funko Fusion older $34.99 679 63% 20k $713k (exactly $712,746) 1010 Games
Hidden Cats in Tokyo $5.99 172 92% 5.2k $31k (exactly $30,908) Nukearts Studio
Magical Nut Ikuno $14.99 42 83% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) qureate, Orgesta Inc.
Super Farming Boy · EA $12.99 42 85% 1.3k $16k (exactly $16,367) LemonChili Soft
Rabbiman Adventures $14.99 21 100% 630 $9.4k (exactly $9,444) ISRACHEM LTD
Bullet: Surge $15.99 18 94% 540 $8.6k (exactly $8,635) Cerbere Games
Spooky Monkey $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Xander Clinthorne
Specter: The Battle of the Mind $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) AlguemBonitinho
The Supernatural Power Troll $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Jack Le Hamster
破环者 LoopBreaker $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 白哥制作
AIZASIA $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) LLC Onisino

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.