Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzlePuzzle + Steampunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Steampunk Puzzle game?

Puzzle + Steampunk

Of 40 developers who shipped a Steampunk Puzzle game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 85 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $630k, ×1005 the market median. Revenue is up 125% on the market; 85 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 125% on the market, 85 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle + Steampunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $70k → $18k → $1.6k → $3.6k → $599 → $1.9k → $1.9k (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Puzzle + Steampunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,731)
Top 25% $7.9k (exactly $7,913)
Top 5% $631k (exactly $631,042)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 185
Announced 85
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 125% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data
Steampunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Puzzle; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Point & Click, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, Lore-Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,976 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $7.9k, 1 in 20 over $630k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 85 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair57 devs · median $8.2k · 53 announced
  2. + Medical SimFair17 devs · median $6.1k · 27 announced
  3. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair40 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair161 devs · median $1.8k · 150 announced
  5. + VampiresFair46 devs · median $1.7k · 37 announced
  6. + CatsFair281 devs · median $1.2k · 334 announced
  7. + DemonsFair233 devs · median $1.2k · 248 announced
  8. + God GameFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  9. + RomanceFair209 devs · median $1.0k · 251 announced
  10. + AutomationFair135 devs · median $1.0k · 164 announced
  11. + Tower DefenseFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 67 announced
  12. + LemmingsFair13 devs · median $959 · 11 announced

All 246 pairs on the Puzzle page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FAR: Lone Sails older $14.99 24,474 95% 734k $11M (exactly $11,005,958) Okomotive
Machinarium older $19.99 17,552 95% 527k $11M (exactly $10,525,934) Amanita Design
The Great Ace Attorney Chronicles older $39.99 5,113 93% 153k $6.1M (exactly $6,134,066) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Syberia: The World Before older $39.99 4,069 89% 122k $4.9M (exactly $4,881,579) Microids Studio Paris
The Room 4: Old Sins older $8.99 17,806 98% 534k $4.8M (exactly $4,802,278) Fireproof Games
The Room older $4.99 30,421 97% 913k $4.6M (exactly $4,554,024) Fireproof Games
Opus Magnum older $19.99 5,964 97% 179k $3.6M (exactly $3,576,611) Zachtronics
The Room Two older $4.99 21,056 97% 632k $3.2M (exactly $3,152,083) Fireproof Games
Deponia older $9.99 10,455 87% 314k $3.1M (exactly $3,133,364) Daedalic Entertainment
Deponia: The Complete Journey older $29.99 3,375 85% 101k $3.0M (exactly $3,036,488) Daedalic Entertainment
Syberia - Remastered $29.99 724 70% 22k $651k (exactly $651,383) Virtuallyz Gaming, Microids Studio Paris
Amerzone - The Explorer's Legacy $39.99 526 90% 16k $631k (exactly $631,042) Microids Studio Paris
Neyyah $24.99 229 83% 6.9k $172k (exactly $171,681) Defy Reality Entertainment
Éalú $9.99 254 92% 7.6k $76k (exactly $76,124) Beyond the Bark, Orr Games
Lust Manor: Leona’s Secret $9.99 89 78% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,673) Kinky Business Group
Brassheart $15.99 53 98% 1.6k $25k (exactly $25,424) Hexy Studio
MAELSTROM LEGACY: The Tesla Mystery $10.99 36 69% 1.1k $12k (exactly $11,869) Wistfulware
Power Sink $14.99 26 96% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) Winterwire Games
Hermes Library $15.99 17 88% 510 $8.2k (exactly $8,155) SoaringHeart
Nova Patria $11.99 22 100% 660 $7.9k (exactly $7,913) Sower Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.