Do I ship it?

GamesPrecision PlatformerPrecision Platformer + Snow

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Snow Precision Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Snow

Only 9 developers shipped a Snow Precision Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, My friend Mango, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $240 against a market of $480. 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 15 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Snow
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $2.1k → $449
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Snow: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $599 (exactly $599)
Top 5% $2.1k (exactly $2,097)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 28
Announced 15
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Snow
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Precision Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 4,787 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $590, 1 in 20 over $2.0k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bread & Fred older $14.99 4,217 79% 127k $1.9M (exactly $1,896,385) SandCastles Studio
Mission in Snowdriftland older $6.99 239 94% 7.2k $50k (exactly $50,118) tons of bits
AtmaSphere 2 older $4.99 146 79% 4.4k $22k (exactly $21,856) Mazen Games
Ascent older $4.99 89 93% 2.7k $13k (exactly $13,323) Tim Kashani
Grapple League older $9.99 24 95% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) Rain Check Studios
My friend Mango $6.99 10 100% 300 $2.1k (exactly $2,097) Bliuper Studios
Bhop up! older $4.99 13 69% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) ArcanaLord
Snowyland older $1.99 31 96% 930 $1.9k (exactly $1,851) Donnie Game Studio
Vinterget older $2.99 13 100% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Baruhara
Aralunis $5.99 5 60% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Nezashiron Games
Bounce Quest $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) nozech
Hopward $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) GoodGhostGames
The Orbit $7.99 1 0% 30 $240 (exactly $240) BluExolotL Games
The Tales of the Magical Space Dough: Rebaked · EA $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Mystical Orb Inc
Christmas Soul $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Mediakomp
Slime Climb $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Mecha Rhino
SavingSanta $5.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ken Henson

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.