Games › Roguelite › Roguelite + Naval
Should I ship a Naval Roguelite?
Roguelite + Naval
Only 19 developers shipped a Naval Roguelite in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rogue Waters, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $420, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270. 28 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper, while revenue is up 200% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $269 (exactly $269) |
|---|---|
| Median | $419 (exactly $419) |
| Top 25% | $15k (exactly $14,748) |
| Top 5% | $859k (exactly $859,214) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 19 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Roguelite; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Strategy, Tactical
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,383 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Roguelite with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Real-TimeFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TypingFair
- + Grand StrategyFair
- + IdlerFair
- + DogsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LogicFair
- + DwarvesPoor odds
Comparable games
SUNLESS SEA 2015 · $4.3M 
Ship of Fools 2022 · $3.3M 
Pixel Piracy 2014 · $2.6M 
Abandon Ship 2019 · $863k 
Rogue Waters 2024 · $859k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | SUNLESS SEA | older | $18.99 | 7,625 83% | 229k | $4.3M (exactly $4,343,962) | Failbetter Games |
| | Ship of Fools | older | $21.99 | 5,040 82% | 151k | $3.3M (exactly $3,324,888) | Fika Productions |
| | Pixel Piracy | older | $14.99 | 5,713 65% | 171k | $2.6M (exactly $2,569,136) | Vitali Kirpu |
| | Abandon Ship | older | $24.99 | 1,151 71% | 35k | $863k (exactly $862,905) | Fireblade Software |
| | Rogue Waters | $29.99 | 955 75% | 29k | $859k (exactly $859,214) | Ice Code Games | |
 | MORSE | $13.99 | 124 93% | 3.7k | $52k (exactly $52,043) | ALJO Games | |
 | Cursed Crew | · EA older | $20.00 | 70 80% | 2.1k | $42k (exactly $42,000) | Cracklewock Games |
 | Curse of Pirates | $9.99 | 121 80% | 3.6k | $36k (exactly $36,264) | Funky Parrot | |
 | Dread Admiral | $13.99 | 59 89% | 1.8k | $25k (exactly $24,762) | Tescrin Games | |
 | Reclaim The Sea | $11.99 | 41 75% | 1.2k | $15k (exactly $14,748) | 1LastGame | |
 | Fluffy Sailors | $12.99 | 29 79% | 870 | $11k (exactly $11,301) | Skaldery Games | |
 | Ocean Survivors | $3.49 | 38 97% | 1.1k | $4.0k (exactly $3,979) | Aremji Games | |
 | Kamikaze Survivors | $9.99 | 9 77% | 270 | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) | DaboSoft | |
 | Pirate Twist | · EA | $4.67 | 5 100% | 150 | $700 (exactly $700) | BTG Labs |
 | Hullbreaker | · EA | $6.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | Dalton |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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