Games › Roguelite › Roguelite + Nature
Should I ship a Nature Roguelite?
Roguelite + Nature
Of 116 developers who shipped a Nature Roguelite in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 219 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $99k, ×208 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 219 games are announced against 70 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $210 (exactly $210) |
|---|---|
| Median | $719 (exactly $719) |
| Top 25% | $4.3k (exactly $4,315) |
| Top 5% | $99k (exactly $99,015) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 116 |
| Released games | 208 |
| Announced | 219 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Roguelite; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Action, Strategy
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 81% positive over 11,411 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 54 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 219 games are announced against 70 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Roguelite with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Real-TimeFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TypingFair
- + Grand StrategyFair
- + IdlerFair
- + DogsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LogicFair
- + DwarvesPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Everything is Crab: The Animal Evolution Roguelite | $9.99 | 6,876 76% | 206k | $2.1M (exactly $2,060,737) | Odd Dreams Digital | |
| | Ravenbound | older | $29.99 | 770 53% | 23k | $693k (exactly $692,769) | Systemic Reaction™ |
| | Insurmountable | older | $24.99 | 832 78% | 25k | $624k (exactly $623,750) | ByteRockers' Games |
| | Coal LLC | $14.99 | 1,343 92% | 40k | $604k (exactly $603,947) | Bye Bye Ocean | |
| | Primordialis | · EA | $19.99 | 974 93% | 29k | $584k (exactly $584,108) | Kyler Natividad, Keith Sammut |
| | 沉默的蟋蟀 | older | $14.99 | 1,130 88% | 34k | $508k (exactly $508,161) | 蓬莱飞鱼工作室 |
| | Zoominoes | $14.99 | 549 91% | 16k | $247k (exactly $246,885) | Starlight Games inc. | |
| | Sipho | older | $17.99 | 339 83% | 10k | $183k (exactly $182,958) | All Parts Connected |
| | Day of the Shell | $14.99 | 382 68% | 11k | $172k (exactly $171,785) | Duper Games | |
| | Seeds of Resilience | older | $13.99 | 257 66% | 7.7k | $108k (exactly $107,863) | Subtle Games |
| | Idle Colony | $5.99 | 551 82% | 17k | $99k (exactly $99,015) | Faith G. | |
| | The Greenening | $4.99 | 484 96% | 15k | $72k (exactly $72,455) | Erkberg Games | |
| | Super Cabbage Kabumi | $14.99 | 125 67% | 3.8k | $56k (exactly $56,212) | Vividesca Games | |
| | Fresh Tracks | $24.99 | 53 94% | 1.6k | $40k (exactly $39,734) | Buffalo Buffalo | |
| | Rogue Labyrinth | $14.99 | 74 98% | 2.2k | $33k (exactly $33,278) | Tea Witch Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.