Do I ship it?

GamesPrecision PlatformerPrecision Platformer + Music

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Music Precision Platformer?

Precision Platformer + Music

Only 11 developers shipped a Music Precision Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, A Pinball Game That Makes You Mad, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 29 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 500% on the market, 29 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Precision Platformer + Music
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.5k → $119 → $359 → $299 → $598 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Precision Platformer + Music: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 5% $8.1k (exactly $8,092)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 60
Announced 29
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 500% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Music
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Precision Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 67 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $8.0k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Precision Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DemonsFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  2. + FPSFair37 devs · median $1.6k · 38 announced
  3. + GothicFair15 devs · median $1.4k · 17 announced
  4. + HorrorFair68 devs · median $1.0k · 69 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationFair103 devs · median $748 · 116 announced
  6. + Perma DeathFair46 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  7. + IdlerFair12 devs · median $657 · 6 announced
  8. + Action RoguelikeFair36 devs · median $629 · 38 announced
  9. + Time ManipulationFair22 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  10. + SandboxFair30 devs · median $537 · 21 announced
  11. + Procedural GenerationFair49 devs · median $449 · 42 announced
  12. + RPGFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced

All 123 pairs on the Precision Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Geometry Dash older $4.99 595,606 93% 18M $89M (exactly $89,162,218) RobTop Games
Electronic Super Joy older $7.99 2,471 89% 74k $592k (exactly $592,299) Michael Todd Games
140 older $4.99 2,054 94% 62k $307k (exactly $307,484) Carlsen Games
Runner3 older $19.99 261 75% 7.8k $157k (exactly $156,522) Choice Provisions
Remnants of Naezith older $9.99 440 95% 13k $132k (exactly $131,868) Tolga Ay
In Between older $11.99 149 85% 4.5k $54k (exactly $53,595) Gentlymad
Octahedron: Transfixed Edition older $12.99 115 93% 3.5k $45k (exactly $44,816) Demimonde
Klang older $9.99 109 67% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,667) Tinimations
oO older $0.99 839 89% 25k $25k (exactly $24,918) Maciej Targoni
Matter older $4.99 159 88% 4.8k $24k (exactly $23,802) Uki Uki Lab, Concrete Games
A Pinball Game That Makes You Mad $9.99 27 81% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Azimuth Studios
AeroWave OS $4.99 11 81% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) ByBelka Studio
MetroLand $4.99 8 87% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Kiloo
Synthwave Tunnel · EA $4.99 7 85% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Hard Shark Games
Git Gud $3.99 5 40% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Absam Studios
Super Hot Cube · EA $5.99 2 50% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Hard Shark Games
Geometry Jump: Impossible Game $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Hard Shark Games
A Cat named Gossamergoober $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) James H. Van der Meulen
NEKRO3 · EA $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) CHVDR
Duball Dash $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Phalanx Tactical

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.