Games › Roguelite › Roguelite + Match 3
Should I ship a Match 3 Roguelite?
Roguelite + Match 3
Of 34 developers who shipped a Match 3 Roguelite in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 69 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $810, ×1.7 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $74k, ×156 the market median. Revenue is up 300% on the market; 69 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $807 (exactly $807) |
| Top 25% | $6.1k (exactly $6,081) |
| Top 5% | $74k (exactly $74,216) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 34 |
| Released games | 70 |
| Announced | 69 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 300% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Roguelite, Match 3; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelike, Deckbuilding
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cartoony
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 2,117 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 69 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Roguelite with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Real-TimeFair
- + ProgrammingFair
- + VampiresFair
- + TypingFair
- + Grand StrategyFair
- + IdlerFair
- + DogsFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Score AttackFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + LogicFair
- + DwarvesPoor odds
Comparable games
The Legend of Bum-Bo 2019 · $2.5M 
Titanium Court 2026 · $492k 
ISEKAI QUEST 2020 · $440k 
Ironcast 2015 · $348k 
10,000,000 2013 · $271k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Legend of Bum-Bo | older | $14.99 | 5,654 80% | 170k | $2.5M (exactly $2,542,604) | Edmund McMillen, James Interactive, Rid… (Edmund McMillen, James Interactive, Ridiculon) |
| | Titanium Court | $14.99 | 1,094 94% | 33k | $492k (exactly $491,972) | AP Thomson | |
| | ISEKAI QUEST | older | $3.99 | 3,679 85% | 110k | $440k (exactly $440,376) | Studio Ginkgo |
| | Ironcast | older | $14.99 | 774 72% | 23k | $348k (exactly $348,068) | Dreadbit |
| | 10,000,000 | older | $4.99 | 1,807 90% | 54k | $271k (exactly $270,508) | EightyEightGames |
 | You Must Build A Boat | older | $4.99 | 836 81% | 25k | $125k (exactly $125,149) | EightyEightGames |
 | Infinite Tao | older | $3.99 | 852 79% | 26k | $102k (exactly $101,984) | insomnia |
 | Lucky Hunter | $5.99 | 413 89% | 12k | $74k (exactly $74,216) | 159 Studio | |
 | ANTHEM#9 | $14.99 | 125 87% | 3.8k | $56k (exactly $56,212) | koeda | |
 | Neon Village | $9.99 | 146 86% | 4.4k | $44k (exactly $43,756) | Encraft | |
 | Legends of Gems | $8.99 | 139 81% | 4.2k | $37k (exactly $37,488) | 南京西木优洛网络科技有限公司 | |
 | Gem and Tarot | $4.99 | 68 100% | 2.0k | $10k (exactly $10,180) | SHEN DING | |
 | 转生魔塔 | $11.99 | 26 88% | 780 | $9.4k (exactly $9,352) | Zeros | |
 | Slime Soup | $4.99 | 50 90% | 1.5k | $7.5k (exactly $7,485) | VANDERMAESEN GAMES | |
 | Rune Ark | $6.99 | 29 65% | 870 | $6.1k (exactly $6,081) | WelesGames | |
 | Match! The 12 CZ Wars | $5.99 | 27 100% | 810 | $4.9k (exactly $4,852) | CorvusCorax Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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