Do I ship it?

GamesPuzzlePuzzle + Martial Arts

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Martial-Arts Puzzle game?

Puzzle + Martial Arts

Only 9 developers shipped a Martial-Arts Puzzle game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Forestrike, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $810, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $50. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 14 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 14 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Puzzle + Martial Arts
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Puzzle + Martial Arts: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $809 (exactly $809)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 5% $276k (exactly $275,724)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 30
Announced 14
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 250% more developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data
Martial Arts
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Puzzle
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 34,021 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $810, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 14 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Puzzle with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorFair57 devs · median $8.2k · 53 announced
  2. + Medical SimFair17 devs · median $6.1k · 27 announced
  3. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair40 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair161 devs · median $1.8k · 150 announced
  5. + VampiresFair46 devs · median $1.7k · 37 announced
  6. + CatsFair281 devs · median $1.2k · 334 announced
  7. + DemonsFair233 devs · median $1.2k · 248 announced
  8. + God GameFair27 devs · median $1.2k · 30 announced
  9. + RomanceFair209 devs · median $1.0k · 251 announced
  10. + AutomationFair135 devs · median $1.0k · 164 announced
  11. + Tower DefenseFair64 devs · median $1.0k · 67 announced
  12. + LemmingsFair13 devs · median $959 · 11 announced

All 246 pairs on the Puzzle page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fate Seeker II older $22.60 11,360 88% 341k $7.7M (exactly $7,702,080) JSL Entertainment
Fate Seeker older $21.09 11,930 90% 358k $7.5M (exactly $7,548,111) JSL Entertainment
The Wind Road older $29.99 5,920 69% 178k $5.3M (exactly $5,326,224) 甘肃嘉元数字科技有限公司
The Forgotten Concluder older $24.99 894 74% 27k $670k (exactly $670,232) Kunpo Games
Floating Life2 older $19.99 637 50% 19k $382k (exactly $382,009) 心流工作室(Heart Stream Studio)
Forestrike $9.99 920 91% 28k $276k (exactly $275,724) Skeleton Crew Studio, Thomas Olsson
鸿源战纪 - Tales of Hongyuan older $12.99 442 78% 13k $172k (exactly $172,247) Hongyuan Game
Ato older $14.99 339 97% 10k $152k (exactly $152,448) Tiny Warrior Games
Ninja Stealth older $4.99 912 76% 27k $137k (exactly $136,526) SC Jogos
Ninja Stealth 2 older $4.99 667 70% 20k $100k (exactly $99,850) SC Jogos
Mutants Ate My Carrots $11.99 12 100% 360 $4.3k (exactly $4,316) Animatic Vision
虚衝 - Kyosho $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) むつむつプロジェクト(Mutsu'pro)
Little Fighters on Stream $3.99 9 88% 270 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) TEAM Black Hat Robot
Last Shinobi $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) Dark Tomato Studio
Sumo Battlegrounds $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Game Devs Anonymous
100 Words $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Dijio Games
Kin Tandem $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Tall Horse Community
The Sudoku Way $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) What To Do!? Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.