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Should I ship a Snow Management game?
Management + Snow
Only 16 developers shipped a Snow Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Frostpunk 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $11k, ×18 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $28M, ×44858 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 31 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $537 (exactly $537) |
|---|---|
| Median | $11k (exactly $11,058) |
| Top 25% | $123k (exactly $123,308) |
| Top 5% | $28M (exactly $28,170,938) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 31 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Management
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Snow
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Management
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 22,689 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $540. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomeFair
- + Job SimulatorFair
- + WesternFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + JRPGFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + RhythmFair
- + UnderwaterFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + 3D FighterFair
- + IncrementalFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Frostpunk 2 | $44.99 | 20,872 74% | 626k | $28M (exactly $28,170,938) | 11 bit studios | |
| | Winter Resort Simulator 2 | older | $24.99 | 1,336 84% | 40k | $1.0M (exactly $1,001,599) | Simuverse Interactive |
| | Above the Snow | $24.99 | 383 75% | 11k | $287k (exactly $287,135) | Above the Desk | |
| | Arctic Motel Simulator | $17.99 | 465 88% | 14k | $251k (exactly $250,960) | One Slice of Pizza Games | |
| | Frostrain 2 | $10.99 | 374 89% | 11k | $123k (exactly $123,308) | nemonan | |
| | Climber: Sky is the Limit | older | $21.99 | 142 69% | 4.3k | $94k (exactly $93,677) | A2 Softworks, Art Games Studio S.A. |
| | Frozen Ship | · EA | $19.99 | 142 76% | 4.3k | $85k (exactly $85,157) | Nionetix |
| | POJANGMACHA : Korean Street Food Management Simulator | $9.99 | 229 94% | 6.9k | $69k (exactly $68,631) | AnomalyGuys | |
| | Arctic Shift: Fuel Station | $13.99 | 79 49% | 2.4k | $33k (exactly $33,156) | Wildbyte | |
| | Zoo Park Story | older | $8.99 | 101 82% | 3.0k | $27k (exactly $27,240) | Kairosoft Co.,Ltd |
| | Octohill Ski Tycoon | $8.99 | 41 85% | 1.2k | $11k (exactly $11,058) | DeuxBaguettes | |
| | Yuki-Onna Checker | $2.99 | 101 89% | 3.0k | $9.1k (exactly $9,060) | 闇宮 | |
| | Factory Train: DreamLine | $9.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | Unoptimized Bird |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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