Do I ship it?

GamesLooter ShooterLooter Shooter + War

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a War Looter Shooter?

Looter Shooter + War

Only 14 developers shipped a War Looter Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Escape from Tarkov, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. 32 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper, while revenue is up 30050% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 30050% on the market, 32 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Looter Shooter + War
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $360 → $180 → $564 → $379k → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Looter Shooter + War: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $5.1k (exactly $5,095)
Top 5% $84M (exactly $83,719,253)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 50
Announced 32
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30050% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter
War
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Looter Shooter
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 50% positive over 56,877 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $900, 1 in 4 over $5.0k, 1 in 20 over $83M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Looter Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair13 devs · median $219k · 14 announced
  2. + Vehicular CombatFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  4. + 3D PlatformerLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds54 devs · median $25k · 136 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds56 devs · median $25k · 124 announced
  8. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  9. + DystopianPoor odds14 devs · median $10k · 45 announced
  10. + Base BuildingPoor odds36 devs · median $9.1k · 74 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds50 devs · median $9.0k · 151 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds27 devs · median $6.9k · 61 announced

All 90 pairs on the Looter Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Escape from Tarkov $49.99 55,824 49% 1.7M $84M (exactly $83,719,253) Battlestate Games
Marauders · EA older $29.99 13,505 68% 405k $12M (exactly $12,150,448) Small Impact Games
Granvir $14.99 842 90% 25k $379k (exactly $378,647) Airborne Games
SEX with HITLER 2 older $9.99 402 86% 12k $120k (exactly $120,479) Adolf Games
Fracture Point $19.99 158 81% 4.7k $95k (exactly $94,753) Kyrylo Burlaka
Linguist FPS - The Language Learning FPS older $14.99 192 71% 5.8k $86k (exactly $86,342) Rocket Boy Games
Sector Six older $8.00 223 93% 6.7k $54k (exactly $53,520) V3663L
CHEMISTS: Area of infection · EA older $14.99 60 63% 1.8k $27k (exactly $26,982) RPAX, GPC
Just Skill Shooter older $9.99 36 47% 1.1k $11k (exactly $10,789) Gamesforgames
Just skill shooter 2 older $9.99 32 53% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Gamesforgames
Just Skill Shooter: Catacombs $9.99 17 64% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Gamesforgames
Iron Trails: Outlaw Pursuit · EA $17.99 7 14% 210 $3.8k (exactly $3,778) Gloac Games, Gloac
MiniWarfare · EA $9.99 6 100% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) BajaStorm
Red Siren: Space Defense $14.99 2 50% 60 $899 (exactly $899) ISTOM Games
The Island of Thugs $0.99 19 78% 570 $564 (exactly $564) Big Green Platypus
We Don't Cry: Zombie Survival $11.99 1 0% 30 $360 (exactly $360) Bored Alchemist
Outlanders: Hunt and Survive $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) DIG Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.