Do I ship it?

GamesLooter ShooterLooter Shooter + Stealth

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Stealth Looter Shooter?

Looter Shooter + Stealth

Only 11 developers shipped a Stealth Looter Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BULT: Hunting simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×6.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×1.6 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $260k, ×174 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 39 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 39 announced, ×6.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Looter Shooter + Stealth
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.0k → $119 → $19k → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Looter Shooter + Stealth: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 25% $31k (exactly $31,468)
Top 5% $260k (exactly $260,439)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 38
Announced 39
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter
Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Looter Shooter, Stealth
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,190 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $31k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Looter Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair13 devs · median $219k · 14 announced
  2. + Vehicular CombatFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  4. + 3D PlatformerLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds54 devs · median $25k · 136 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds56 devs · median $25k · 124 announced
  8. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  9. + DystopianPoor odds14 devs · median $10k · 45 announced
  10. + Base BuildingPoor odds36 devs · median $9.1k · 74 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds50 devs · median $9.0k · 151 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds27 devs · median $6.9k · 61 announced

All 90 pairs on the Looter Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
PAYDAY 2 older $9.99 445,531 89% 13M $134M (exactly $133,525,641) OVERKILL - a Starbreeze Studio., Sidetr… (OVERKILL - a Starbreeze Studio., Sidetrack Games)
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Breakpoint older $59.99 44,635 72% 1.3M $80M (exactly $80,329,610) Ubisoft Paris
Tom Clancy’s The Division™ older $29.99 76,985 72% 2.3M $69M (exactly $69,263,404) Massive Entertainment
Crime Boss: Rockay City older $19.99 8,553 68% 257k $5.1M (exactly $5,129,234) INGAME STUDIOS
VLADiK BRUTAL older $11.99 9,551 89% 287k $3.4M (exactly $3,435,495) BRUTAL SOFTWARE
BULT: Hunting simulator · EA $9.99 869 87% 26k $260k (exactly $260,439) Nordrise
Dustland · EA $22.99 100 69% 3.0k $69k (exactly $68,970) RedPad Games
Dreadweave · EA $9.99 105 72% 3.2k $31k (exactly $31,468) DeadGrass Games
Containment Corp, Inc. · EA $6.99 89 89% 2.7k $19k (exactly $18,663) Lich & Lily
Psycho on the loose older $5.99 66 60% 2.0k $12k (exactly $11,860) WhackAKey Games
Iron Trails: Outlaw Pursuit · EA $17.99 7 14% 210 $3.8k (exactly $3,778) Gloac Games, Gloac
Fraud Camp: Survival Escape $4.99 16 81% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) BlackVault Studio
Guards vs Goats $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) David Amado
Defest · EA $7.99 1 100% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Fleshbite Studios LLC
Necro Negate $3.99 1 0% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Uni Games
Kill the horde $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) XF Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.