Do I ship it?

GamesLooter ShooterLooter Shooter + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Looter Shooter?

Looter Shooter + Psychological Horror

Only 11 developers shipped a Psychological-Horror Looter Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Escape from Tarkov, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180, ×0.1 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $140. 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper, while revenue is up 4205% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 4205% on the market, 28 announced, ×4.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Looter Shooter + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Looter Shooter + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $135 (exactly $135)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $18,663)
Top 5% $84M (exactly $83,719,253)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 25
Announced 28
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 4205% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Looter Shooter
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 49% positive over 56,034 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $140, median $180, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $83M.

3 in 10 developers made under $140. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Looter Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair13 devs · median $219k · 14 announced
  2. + Vehicular CombatFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  4. + 3D PlatformerLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds54 devs · median $25k · 136 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds56 devs · median $25k · 124 announced
  8. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  9. + DystopianPoor odds14 devs · median $10k · 45 announced
  10. + Base BuildingPoor odds36 devs · median $9.1k · 74 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds50 devs · median $9.0k · 151 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds27 devs · median $6.9k · 61 announced

All 90 pairs on the Looter Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Escape from Tarkov $49.99 55,824 49% 1.7M $84M (exactly $83,719,253) Battlestate Games
Suicide Squad: Kill the Justice League older $69.99 12,718 60% 382k $27M (exactly $26,703,985) Rocksteady Studios
Nightmare Reaper older $24.99 3,394 93% 102k $2.5M (exactly $2,544,482) Blazing Bit Games
Dreadweave · EA $9.99 105 72% 3.2k $31k (exactly $31,468) DeadGrass Games
Territory · EA older $14.99 57 64% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) Threat Vector
Deformed older $4.99 163 95% 4.9k $24k (exactly $24,401) Deformed Studios
Containment Corp, Inc. · EA $6.99 89 89% 2.7k $19k (exactly $18,663) Lich & Lily
TuHou Remilia - Begin Of Scarlet Family older $6.99 33 9% 990 $6.9k (exactly $6,920) CoKe_Deer
FEAR background older $9.99 23 13% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) 5K Gamers
Holiday Time older $0.99 145 78% 4.4k $4.3k (exactly $4,306) Eternal Lighthouse
ASHWAKE · EA $14.99 8 62% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Ghost Development
The Great Smog · EA $12.99 2 50% 60 $779 (exactly $779) JFi Games
Desperate Travelers $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Microlab
Coin Hunter · EA $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Autistic players Studio
JAMBREDREK: PURE DETECTIVE $2.25 2 100% 60 $135 (exactly $135) Devils On The Loose
North Sentinel Island $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) MasterHanzi
Flooded Lands $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) OpxGaming

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.