Do I ship it?

GamesLooter ShooterLooter Shooter + Perma Death

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Perma Death Looter Shooter?

Looter Shooter + Perma Death

Of 21 developers who shipped a Perma Death Looter Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 46 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×1.1 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $730k, ×492 the market median. Revenue is up 340% on the market; 46 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 340% on the market, 46 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Looter Shooter + Perma Death
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $89k → $5.8k → $3.4k → $1.5k → $5.8k → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Looter Shooter + Perma Death: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $267 (exactly $267)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 25% $7.9k (exactly $7,910)
Top 5% $738k (exactly $737,705)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 58
Announced 46
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 340% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter
Perma Death
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Looter Shooter, Perma Death; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Procedural Generation
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 10,268 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $7.9k, 1 in 20 over $730k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 46 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Looter Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair13 devs · median $219k · 14 announced
  2. + Vehicular CombatFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  4. + 3D PlatformerLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds54 devs · median $25k · 136 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds56 devs · median $25k · 124 announced
  8. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  9. + DystopianPoor odds14 devs · median $10k · 45 announced
  10. + Base BuildingPoor odds36 devs · median $9.1k · 74 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds50 devs · median $9.0k · 151 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds27 devs · median $6.9k · 61 announced

All 90 pairs on the Looter Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Roboquest older $24.99 19,158 95% 575k $14M (exactly $14,362,753) RyseUp Studios
Marauders · EA older $29.99 13,505 68% 405k $12M (exactly $12,150,448) Small Impact Games
Crab Champions · EA older $9.99 26,546 97% 796k $8.0M (exactly $7,955,836) Noisestorm
Road to Vostok · EA $19.99 8,646 84% 259k $5.2M (exactly $5,185,006) Road to Vostok Ltd.
Battle Shapers $24.99 984 80% 30k $738k (exactly $737,705) Metric Empire
Mind older $17.99 372 69% 11k $201k (exactly $200,768) WHIRLLAXY LIMITED
Tankenstein · EA $17.99 238 89% 7.1k $128k (exactly $128,449) Landship Games LTD
Ants Took My Eyeball older $12.99 248 93% 7.4k $97k (exactly $96,646) Bosmic Forge
Fracture Point $19.99 158 81% 4.7k $95k (exactly $94,753) Kyrylo Burlaka
Holomento · EA older $19.99 155 72% 4.7k $93k (exactly $92,954) Sean Weech
Schism $11.99 140 96% 4.2k $50k (exactly $50,358) Fami
No Time For Pants $7.99 33 84% 990 $7.9k (exactly $7,910) Pixel Push Inc
Dread Protocol · EA $7.99 24 83% 720 $5.8k (exactly $5,753) Meat Lab
Alone in the Stars: Survivor $6.99 23 86% 690 $4.8k (exactly $4,823) J6 Games
ASHWAKE · EA $14.99 8 62% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Ghost Development
CRAST $5.99 14 35% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Qazaq Games Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.