Do I ship it?

GamesLooter ShooterLooter Shooter + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Looter Shooter?

Looter Shooter + Nature

Only 15 developers shipped a Nature Looter Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Project L33T: Founders Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build. 11 developers shipped in the last year and 6 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 6 announced, ×0.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Looter Shooter + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $449 → $260k (still earning) → $628 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Looter Shooter + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 5% $315k (exactly $314,842)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 30
Announced 6
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 175% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Looter Shooter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Character Customization
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 1,444 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $310k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Looter Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair13 devs · median $219k · 14 announced
  2. + Vehicular CombatFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  4. + 3D PlatformerLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds54 devs · median $25k · 136 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds56 devs · median $25k · 124 announced
  8. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  9. + DystopianPoor odds14 devs · median $10k · 45 announced
  10. + Base BuildingPoor odds36 devs · median $9.1k · 74 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds50 devs · median $9.0k · 151 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds27 devs · median $6.9k · 61 announced

All 90 pairs on the Looter Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Project L33T: Founders Edition $19.99 525 47% 16k $315k (exactly $314,842) Targetpoint Interactive, Holmgard Games
BULT: Hunting simulator · EA $9.99 869 87% 26k $260k (exactly $260,439) Nordrise
Territory · EA older $14.99 57 64% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) Threat Vector
Tale of the Bullet Knight · EA $15.99 21 95% 630 $10k (exactly $10,074) JAKALWIZARDSTUDIO
The President older $19.99 10 70% 300 $6.0k (exactly $5,997) GamesBraz
Life After Death older $9.99 6 16% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Mostudios
Theory of Poltaran older $9.99 5 40% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Stylua Games
DEADPOINT · EA older $4.99 9 66% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) REGION Interactive
Dragons Reef $19.99 2 50% 60 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Radoslaw Kutowinski
Obsessive Revenge older $19.99 2 0% 60 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) GamesBraz
Zombie Defense:Breach of The Undead · EA $2.99 11 63% 330 $987 (exactly $987) kairainteractive
SOVA NA SKAKALKE $2.99 7 71% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Quiet River
Cold Warms Us. $2.99 5 100% 150 $449 (exactly $449) temmkainc
Blank Canvas · EA $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Blank Canvas Games
Dude The Dark Agent $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) ismail ozel games
Cascadence $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) proxaCor

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.