Do I ship it?

GamesLooter ShooterLooter Shooter + Magic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Magic Looter Shooter?

Looter Shooter + Magic

Only 19 developers shipped a Magic Looter Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Magicraft, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210. 32 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper, while revenue is up 1395% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 1395% on the market, 32 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Looter Shooter + Magic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $420 → $13k → $539 → $4.5k (still earning) → $628 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Looter Shooter + Magic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $628 (exactly $628)
Top 25% $9.0k (exactly $8,982)
Top 5% $7.2M (exactly $7,219,965)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 43
Announced 32
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1395% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Looter Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online co-op and a loot economy on top of a shooter
Magic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Looter Shooter; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 15,841 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $630, 1 in 4 over $8.9k, 1 in 20 over $7.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Looter Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MechsFair13 devs · median $219k · 14 announced
  2. + Vehicular CombatFair11 devs · median $15k · 14 announced
  3. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 8 announced
  4. + 3D PlatformerLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds54 devs · median $25k · 136 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds56 devs · median $25k · 124 announced
  8. + Twin Stick ShooterPoor odds18 devs · median $16k · 44 announced
  9. + DystopianPoor odds14 devs · median $10k · 45 announced
  10. + Base BuildingPoor odds36 devs · median $9.1k · 74 announced
  11. + Character CustomizationPoor odds50 devs · median $9.0k · 151 announced
  12. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds27 devs · median $6.9k · 61 announced

All 90 pairs on the Looter Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Magicraft $15.99 15,051 92% 452k $7.2M (exactly $7,219,965) Wave Games
我在地球修仙有系统 older $14.99 959 70% 29k $431k (exactly $431,262) 红星
Soul's Chronicle: Immortal Slayer $14.99 441 77% 13k $198k (exactly $198,318) 正向星光工作室
One More Dungeon 2 older $14.99 144 81% 4.3k $65k (exactly $64,757) Stately Snail
Avium older $29.99 26 76% 780 $23k (exactly $23,392) The Robot
Wandness: WandCraft Survivor $6.99 107 74% 3.2k $22k (exactly $22,438) Knight Owl Games, Binary Lunar
Arcane Blast older $9.99 44 68% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Campfire Studio
Deathtide · EA older $4.99 69 66% 2.1k $10k (exactly $10,329) Luiz Pascoto
Tale of the Bullet Knight · EA $15.99 21 95% 630 $10k (exactly $10,074) JAKALWIZARDSTUDIO
Wish Me Well · EA $4.99 60 81% 1.8k $9.0k (exactly $8,982) Starrow Castles
NightMare King $4.99 59 83% 1.8k $8.8k (exactly $8,832) Starmoon Cat
Demonslayer AKA Me $7.99 34 73% 1.0k $8.2k (exactly $8,150) 晶尘工作室
传说之始 $3.99 46 71% 1.4k $5.5k (exactly $5,506) 水月suigetsu
Vesperia Bononia $9.99 15 100% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Power Up Team
SOVA NA SKAKALKE $2.99 7 71% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Quiet River

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.