Do I ship it?

Games › Loot › Loot + Turn-Based Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Loot Turn-Based Tactics?

Loot + Turn-Based Tactics

Of 80 developers who shipped a Loot Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 112 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×378 the market median. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 112 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 112 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Loot + Turn-Based Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 80
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.4k → $12k → $9.7k → $13k → $1.9k → $4.5k → $3.9k (still earning) → $898 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Loot + Turn-Based Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 80
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,248)
Top 25% $32k (exactly $31,640)
Top 5% $237k (exactly $237,130)
Developers, 2 yr 80
Released games 170
Announced 112
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Loot, Turn-Based Tactics; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Turn-Based Strategy, RPG
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 9,265 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $31k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 8 in 10 of the 34 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 112 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Loot with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds28 devs · median $19k · 22 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  3. + SteampunkStrong odds7 devs · median $2.2k · 10 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair36 devs · median $14k · 52 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  6. + JRPGFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  7. + EconomyFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  8. + IdlerFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  9. + CatsFair17 devs · median $3.4k · 24 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + Creature CollectorFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair90 devs · median $1.9k · 95 announced

All 159 pairs on the Loot page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Jagged Alliance 3 2023 · $15M Inkbound 2024 · $3.2M NORSE: Oath of Blood 2026 · $2.7M Stolen Realm 2024 · $2.1M 再刷一把 PlayAgain 2022 · $1.2M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Jagged Alliance 3 older $44.99 10,882 89% 326k $15M (exactly $14,687,435) Haemimont Games
Inkbound older $29.99 3,592 86% 108k $3.2M (exactly $3,231,722) Shiny Shoe
NORSE: Oath of Blood $34.99 2,535 56% 76k $2.7M (exactly $2,660,990) Arctic Hazard
Stolen Realm older $19.99 3,470 84% 104k $2.1M (exactly $2,080,959) Burst2Flame Games
再刷一把 PlayAgain older $8.99 4,416 67% 132k $1.2M (exactly $1,190,995) 滑稽工作室
Tales & Tactics older $17.99 1,737 80% 52k $937k (exactly $937,459) Table 9 Studio
Multiverse Loot Hunter $11.99 2,585 80% 78k $930k (exactly $929,824) 游戏养家工作室
Slice & Dice older $8.99 2,484 96% 75k $670k (exactly $669,935) Tann
Knightica $14.99 1,136 74% 34k $511k (exactly $510,859) Mad Mango Games
Tangledeep older $14.99 1,075 82% 32k $483k (exactly $483,428) Impact Gameworks
Backpack Jianghu $13.99 565 80% 17k $237k (exactly $237,130) 背包工作室
Fantasy Idle Dungeon $9.99 736 70% 22k $221k (exactly $220,579) Leaves Games
Dead Grid $12.99 504 93% 15k $196k (exactly $196,409) Atom Void
Nightmare Frontier $24.99 187 69% 5.6k $140k (exactly $140,194) Ice Code Games
EcoGnomix $19.99 216 74% 6.5k $130k (exactly $129,535) Irox Games
黯渊崛起：魔灵深渊 $7.30 508 80% 15k $111k (exactly $111,252) 攸缘游戏
Entropy · EA $11.99 293 94% 8.8k $105k (exactly $105,392) Lovely Hellplace

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.