Do I ship it?

GamesLootLoot + Tower Defense

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Loot Tower Defense?

Loot + Tower Defense

Of 32 developers who shipped a Loot Tower Defense in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $450k, ×720 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 52 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 52 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Loot + Tower Defense
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $9.4k → $179 → $4.5k → $2.0k → $3.7k (still earning) → $178 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Loot + Tower Defense: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $479 (exactly $479)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $5.8k (exactly $5,804)
Top 5% $452k (exactly $451,948)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 62
Announced 52
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 335% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Tower Defense
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Loot, Tower Defense; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Roguelite, Strategy
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 4,125 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $5.8k, 1 in 20 over $450k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 52 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Loot with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds28 devs · median $19k · 22 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  3. + SteampunkStrong odds7 devs · median $2.2k · 10 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair36 devs · median $14k · 52 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  6. + JRPGFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  7. + EconomyFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  8. + IdlerFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  9. + CatsFair17 devs · median $3.4k · 24 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + Creature CollectorFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair90 devs · median $1.9k · 95 announced

All 159 pairs on the Loot page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Incredible Adventures of Van Helsing II older $14.99 1,954 70% 59k $879k (exactly $878,714) NeocoreGames
Knightica $14.99 1,136 74% 34k $511k (exactly $510,859) Mad Mango Games
Tangy TD $9.99 1,508 90% 45k $452k (exactly $451,948) Cakez
Sineus Arena Survivors $10.99 1,150 77% 35k $379k (exactly $379,155) Sineus Games
miniBONG older $9.99 881 79% 26k $264k (exactly $264,036) Game Star
Prime World: Defenders older $9.99 729 78% 22k $218k (exactly $218,481) Nival
Arms Evolution: ZOMBIE DESTROYER older $5.99 268 64% 8.0k $48k (exactly $48,160) Ash Game Studio
Zombie Rollerz: The Last Ship $9.99 139 75% 4.2k $42k (exactly $41,658) Zing Games Inc., 紫英互娱
Secrets of Magonia older $10.99 97 91% 2.9k $32k (exactly $31,981) Elixion
Elemental Master: Heroes Assemble $9.99 68 50% 2.0k $20k (exactly $20,380) DeepDream Studio
Divinity Vassals $11.99 36 75% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,949) Yi
Dice Goblin's Den $11.99 17 94% 510 $6.1k (exactly $6,115) babachoo
idle:Doodle Realm · EA $5.69 34 76% 1.0k $5.8k (exactly $5,804) JIANBING
Clockfall · EA $9.99 18 94% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Rever Games GmbH
Elemental Magic Wars $7.99 19 84% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) FWGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.