Do I ship it?

GamesLootLoot + Tabletop

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Loot Tabletop game?

Loot + Tabletop

Only 11 developers shipped a Loot Tabletop game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Loot of Baal, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×4.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $370k, ×589 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 22 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 22 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Loot + Tabletop
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $14k → $204k → $9.6k → $10k → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Loot + Tabletop: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,055)
Top 25% $32k (exactly $32,237)
Top 5% $370k (exactly $370,028)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 57
Announced 22
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Tabletop
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Loot, Tabletop
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 64% positive over 1,746 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $32k, 1 in 20 over $370k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Loot with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds28 devs · median $19k · 22 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  3. + SteampunkStrong odds7 devs · median $2.2k · 10 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair36 devs · median $14k · 52 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  6. + JRPGFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  7. + EconomyFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  8. + IdlerFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  9. + CatsFair17 devs · median $3.4k · 24 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + Creature CollectorFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair90 devs · median $1.9k · 95 announced

All 159 pairs on the Loot page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tales & Tactics older $17.99 1,737 80% 52k $937k (exactly $937,459) Table 9 Studio
Loot of Baal $8.99 1,372 62% 41k $370k (exactly $370,028) Gleamer Studio
DungeonTop older $15.99 452 80% 14k $217k (exactly $216,824) One Up Plus Entertainment
Talisman: Digital 5th Edition $29.99 227 70% 6.8k $204k (exactly $204,232) Nomad Games
Sea Horizon older $14.99 145 75% 4.4k $65k (exactly $65,206) 45 Studio
Diablo The Abyss older $7.99 207 83% 6.2k $50k (exactly $49,618) Friday Night
Rogue older $2.99 498 94% 15k $45k (exactly $44,671) Epyx, Inc.
Successor $24.99 43 60% 1.3k $32k (exactly $32,237) Playwood Project
Rogue Dungeon older $14.99 49 77% 1.5k $22k (exactly $22,035) Cerberus Gate Games
CUBE ROYALE · EA older $9.99 47 93% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,086) Creature Factory
Knock on Fate:The Guardian Pusher $5.99 58 87% 1.7k $10k (exactly $10,423) 刚正面的红领巾
Hero Quest - God of Chaos · EA $19.99 16 93% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Future Intellect LLC
Petrified Pawns $5.99 17 88% 510 $3.1k (exactly $3,055) Bepansrad Studio
Mercenary Squad Auto Chess $5.99 9 66% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) Ibuprofun
One Dice Dungeon Delve $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) stealthstack
Gap Storm $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Peace War Found
Logic Deck $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Boogygames Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.