Do I ship it?

GamesLootLoot + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Loot game?

Loot + Psychological Horror

Of 28 developers who shipped a Psychological-Horror Loot game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is up 200% on the market; 27 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 27 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Loot + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $47k → $12k → $106k → $19k → $269 → $21k → $269 (still earning) → $59 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Loot + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $718 (exactly $718)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $20,979)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,073,676)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 60
Announced 27
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Loot
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Loot; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 8,401 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $720, 1 in 4 over $20k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Loot with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Artificial IntelligenceStrong odds28 devs · median $19k · 22 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpStrong odds22 devs · median $7.3k · 21 announced
  3. + SteampunkStrong odds7 devs · median $2.2k · 10 announced
  4. + CapitalismFair36 devs · median $14k · 52 announced
  5. + Turn-Based StrategyFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  6. + JRPGFair34 devs · median $5.5k · 41 announced
  7. + EconomyFair74 devs · median $4.6k · 114 announced
  8. + IdlerFair181 devs · median $4.5k · 256 announced
  9. + CatsFair17 devs · median $3.4k · 24 announced
  10. + IncrementalFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  11. + Creature CollectorFair51 devs · median $2.9k · 67 announced
  12. + CollectathonFair90 devs · median $1.9k · 95 announced

All 159 pairs on the Loot page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nightmare Reaper older $24.99 3,394 93% 102k $2.5M (exactly $2,544,482) Blazing Bit Games
Total Chaos $24.99 1,561 86% 47k $1.2M (exactly $1,170,282) Trigger Happy Interactive
Murky Divers $8.99 3,981 87% 119k $1.1M (exactly $1,073,676) Embers
Witch Hunt older $9.99 2,291 88% 69k $687k (exactly $686,613) Gua
Granny: Escape Together $9.99 1,661 79% 50k $498k (exactly $497,802) CreepyToad
Granny Remake older $6.99 2,154 82% 65k $452k (exactly $451,694) FerriteLabs
Forsaken Frontiers $14.99 400 82% 12k $180k (exactly $179,880) made in fairyland
Dishwashing Simulator older $9.99 507 86% 15k $152k (exactly $151,948) Frinky, Frosty
Nightmare Frontier $24.99 187 69% 5.6k $140k (exactly $140,194) Ice Code Games
Backrooms Society · EA older $6.99 588 79% 18k $123k (exactly $123,304) Mikael Bihl
Midnight Heist $9.99 389 92% 12k $117k (exactly $116,583) MediaTale
Still It Runs $9.99 70 48% 2.1k $21k (exactly $20,979) NAYUG, KADOKAWA
Containment Corp, Inc. · EA $6.99 89 89% 2.7k $19k (exactly $18,663) Lich & Lily
Backrooms Lost Unit · EA $6.99 45 84% 1.4k $9.4k (exactly $9,436) JD Archives
Whistling Waters $9.99 18 83% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Luna Apps

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.